🎌 Elo on the Dohyō 🎌

Welcome to the rikishi Elo scoreboard! This page gives you a quick way to see who’s looking strongest in the current basho.

Sumo Strength by the Numbers

Each wrestler has an Elo rating, which goes up when they win and down when they lose, so the numbers shift day by day as the action unfolds.

Match odds are based on the gap between two wrestlers’ scores — a big difference means there’s a clear favorite, while a closer spread means we could be in for a real battle.

If you’d like to dive into the math behind it all, check out the Elo model details

Elo Trends for 2026 Aki Basho in Tokyo

Each point represents a rikishi’s current Elo rating. The rikishi are organized by banzuke ranking, and color coded by rank name. The tail above or below the point shows the change in elo over the course of the current tournament. Mouse over points to see the rikishi name.

Today’s Rikishi Power Meter

Head-to-Head Odds - Day 2

Match	East						Elo Gap	West
		Name	Record	Elo	Win Prob	Odds		Odds	Win Prob	Elo	Record	Name
1		Kyokukaiyu	0-1	1755	0.48	0.93	13 →	1.07	0.52	1768	0-1	Toshinofuji
2		Asasuiryu	1-0	1800	0.53	1.11	19 ←	0.90	0.47	1781	0-1	Shonannoumi
3		Tokihayate	1-0	1793	0.50	1.00	1 →	1.00	0.50	1793	0-1	Chiyoshoma
4		Asakoryu	1-0	1848	0.51	1.05	8 ←	0.95	0.49	1840	0-1	Abi
5		Tobizaru	0-1	1812	0.51	1.02	4 ←	0.98	0.49	1809	1-0	Asahakuryu
6		Oho	0-1	1909	0.62	1.64	86 ←	0.61	0.38	1823	0-1	Shodai
7		Wakamotoharu	1-0	1870	0.55	1.24	38 ←	0.80	0.45	1833	1-0	Kinbozan
8		Takerufuji	1-0	1882	0.55	1.21	33 ←	0.83	0.45	1849	0-1	Shishi
9		Ura	1-0	1870	0.45	0.82	35 →	1.22	0.55	1905	0-1	Hiradoumi
10		Asanoyama	1-0	1939	0.62	1.64	86 ←	0.61	0.38	1853	0-1	Nishikifuji
11		Fujiseiun	1-0	1850	0.45	0.82	35 →	1.22	0.55	1884	0-1	Ichiyamamoto
12		Takanosho	1-0	1936	0.61	1.59	81 ←	0.63	0.39	1856	1-0	Oshoma
13		Roga	0-1	1857	0.50	0.99	2 →	1.01	0.50	1859	0-1	Fujiryoga
14		Gonoyama	0-1	1923	0.41	0.68	66 →	1.47	0.59	1990	0-1	Daieisho
15		Atamifuji	1-0	2050	0.68	2.16	134 ←	0.46	0.32	1917	1-0	Churanoumi
16		Kotoeiho	0-1	1905	0.45	0.81	36 →	1.23	0.55	1941	1-0	Fujinokawa
17		Kirishima	1-0	2138	0.72	2.61	167 ←	0.38	0.28	1971	0-1	Hakunofuji
18		Aonishiki	1-0	2104	0.64	1.79	101 ←	0.56	0.36	2004	0-1	Takayasu
19		Yoshinofuji	0-1	1971	0.47	0.89	20 →	1.12	0.53	1992	1-0	Kotozakura
20		Onosato	1-0	2098	0.71	2.44	155 ←	0.41	0.29	1943	0-1	Kotoshoho

Day-by-day Review for 2026 Aki Basho in Tokyo

Match Recap - Day 1

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Shonannoumi	0-0	0.51	1784	→	1777	0.49	0-0	Dewanoryu	1.03
2	Toshinofuji	0-0	0.47	1763	→	1787	0.53	0-0	Tokihayate	0.91
3	Asasuiryu	0-0	0.50	1795	←	1796	0.50	0-0	Chiyoshoma	1.01
4	Asakoryu	0-0	0.54	1844	←	1818	0.46	0-0	Tobizaru	0.90
5	Abi	0-0	0.55	1835	→	1801	0.45	0-0	Asahakuryu	1.15
6	Wakamotoharu	0-0	0.58	1879	←	1820	0.42	0-0	Shodai	0.78
7	Oho	0-0	0.62	1913	→	1829	0.38	0-0	Kinbozan	1.39
8	Ura	0-0	0.53	1875	←	1855	0.47	0-0	Shishi	0.92
9	Takerufuji	0-0	0.47	1887	←	1908	0.53	0-0	Hiradoumi	1.09
10	Fujiseiun	0-0	0.50	1852	←	1849	0.50	0-0	Nishikifuji	0.99
11	Asanoyama	0-0	0.59	1945	←	1882	0.41	0-0	Ichiyamamoto	0.76
12	Roga	0-0	0.50	1850	→	1850	0.50	0-0	Oshoma	1.00
13	Takanosho	0-0	0.62	1944	←	1862	0.38	0-0	Fujiryoga	0.70
14	Hakunofuji	0-0	0.58	1966	→	1912	0.42	0-0	Churanoumi	1.24
15	Yoshinofuji	0-0	0.56	1978	→	1936	0.44	0-0	Fujinokawa	1.18
16	Atamifuji	0-0	0.67	2043	←	1920	0.33	0-0	Gonoyama	0.58
17	Aonishiki	0-0	0.77	2109	←	1898	0.23	0-0	Kotoeiho	0.38
18	Takayasu	0-0	0.50	1999	→	1995	0.50	0-0	Kotozakura	1.01
19	Kirishima	0-0	0.75	2134	←	1947	0.25	0-0	Kotoshoho	0.42
20	Onosato	0-0	0.66	2094	←	1983	0.34	0-0	Daieisho	0.61