🎌 Elo on the Dohyō 🎌

Welcome to the rikishi Elo scoreboard! This page gives you a quick way to see who’s looking strongest in the current basho.

Sumo Strength by the Numbers

Each wrestler has an Elo rating, which goes up when they win and down when they lose, so the numbers shift day by day as the action unfolds.

Match odds are based on the gap between two wrestlers’ scores — a big difference means there’s a clear favorite, while a closer spread means we could be in for a real battle.

If you’d like to dive into the math behind it all, check out the Elo model details

Elo Trends for 2026 Aki Basho in Tokyo

Each point represents a rikishi’s current Elo rating. The rikishi are organized by banzuke ranking, and color coded by rank name. The tail above or below the point shows the change in elo over the course of the current tournament. Mouse over points to see the rikishi name.

Today’s Rikishi Power Meter

Head-to-Head Odds - Day 7

Match	East						Elo Gap	West
		Name	Record	Elo	Win Prob	Odds		Odds	Win Prob	Elo	Record	Name
1		Shonannoumi	0-6	1749	0.51	1.02	4 ←	0.98	0.49	1745	4-2	Kazekeno
2		Asasuiryu	3-3	1808	0.51	1.04	7 ←	0.96	0.49	1801	4-2	Tokihayate
3		Tobizaru	3-3	1802	0.51	1.03	5 ←	0.97	0.49	1797	3-3	Chiyoshoma
4		Wakamotoharu	4-2	1872	0.52	1.11	17 ←	0.90	0.48	1855	3-3	Asakoryu
5		Abi	4-2	1844	0.50	1.00	0 ←	1.00	0.50	1843	4-2	Kinbozan
6		Oho	1-5	1884	0.63	1.71	94 ←	0.58	0.37	1790	5-1	Toshinofuji
7		Asahakuryu	3-3	1819	0.47	0.88	22 →	1.13	0.53	1841	3-3	Shishi
8		Ura	5-1	1886	0.63	1.68	90 ←	0.59	0.37	1796	0-6	Shodai
9		Nishikifuji	2-4	1839	0.48	0.92	14 →	1.08	0.52	1853	0-6	Ichiyamamoto
10		Asanoyama	5-1	1949	0.62	1.67	89 ←	0.60	0.38	1860	4-2	Fujiseiun
11		Hiradoumi	3-3	1905	0.56	1.25	39 ←	0.80	0.44	1866	3-3	Oshoma
12		Roga	4-2	1880	0.49	0.96	8 →	1.05	0.51	1888	4-2	Takerufuji
13		Takayasu	2-4	2006	0.59	1.43	62 ←	0.70	0.41	1944	3-3	Takanosho
14		Yoshinofuji	1-5	1938	0.55	1.25	38 ←	0.80	0.45	1900	2-4	Kotoeiho
15		Hakunofuji	1-5	1956	0.52	1.08	13 ←	0.93	0.48	1943	2-4	Kotoshoho
16		Daieisho	2-4	1975	0.54	1.17	27 ←	0.86	0.46	1947	4-2	Fujinokawa
17		Aonishiki	3-3	2098	0.55	1.24	37 ←	0.81	0.45	2060	5-1	Atamifuji
18		Fujiryoga	2-4	1857	0.29	0.42	152 →	2.40	0.71	2009	5-1	Kotozakura
19		Kirishima	4-2	2142	0.78	3.51	218 ←	0.28	0.22	1924	2-4	Gonoyama
20		Onosato	5-1	2107	0.72	2.57	164 ←	0.39	0.28	1943	5-1	Churanoumi

Day-by-day Review for 2026 Aki Basho in Tokyo

Match Recap - Day 6

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Shonannoumi	0-5	0.44	1756	→	1797	0.56	3-2	Tokihayate	0.84
2	Tobizaru	2-3	0.51	1795	←	1789	0.49	3-2	Onokatsu	0.97
3	Toshinofuji	4-1	0.49	1783	←	1790	0.51	3-2	Chiyoshoma	1.03
4	Asasuiryu	3-2	0.46	1812	→	1838	0.54	3-2	Abi	0.90
5	Oho	1-4	0.52	1892	→	1876	0.48	3-2	Wakamotoharu	1.07
6	Asakoryu	3-2	0.52	1862	→	1848	0.48	3-2	Kinbozan	1.06
7	Ura	4-1	0.59	1880	←	1815	0.41	3-2	Asahakuryu	0.76
8	Shodai	0-5	0.45	1802	→	1836	0.55	2-3	Shishi	0.87
9	Asanoyama	4-1	0.56	1944	←	1900	0.44	3-2	Hiradoumi	0.83
10	Takerufuji	3-2	0.54	1891	←	1860	0.46	0-5	Ichiyamamoto	0.88
11	Roga	4-1	0.54	1873	→	1845	0.46	1-4	Nishikifuji	1.12
12	Fujiseiun	3-2	0.50	1865	←	1862	0.50	3-2	Oshoma	0.99
13	Fujiryoga	2-3	0.38	1852	→	1935	0.62	4-1	Churanoumi	0.70
14	Takayasu	2-3	0.64	2009	→	1906	0.36	1-4	Kotoeiho	1.49
15	Hakunofuji	1-4	0.47	1960	→	1978	0.53	1-4	Daieisho	0.93
16	Atamifuji	4-1	0.67	2056	←	1936	0.33	2-3	Kotoshoho	0.59
17	Takanosho	3-2	0.41	1947	→	2014	0.59	4-1	Kotozakura	0.75
18	Kirishima	4-1	0.76	2140	→	1943	0.24	0-5	Yoshinofuji	2.04
19	Aonishiki	3-2	0.72	2107	→	1943	0.28	3-2	Fujinokawa	1.83
20	Onosato	4-1	0.75	2106	←	1918	0.25	2-3	Gonoyama	0.42

Match Recap - Day 5

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Shonannoumi	0-4	0.48	1762	→	1775	0.52	3-1	Toshinofuji	0.95
2	Tamawashi	1-3	0.48	1767	→	1784	0.52	2-2	Chiyoshoma	0.93
3	Tobizaru	1-3	0.48	1793	←	1810	0.52	3-1	Asasuiryu	1.07
4	Asakoryu	3-1	0.59	1867	→	1802	0.41	2-2	Tokihayate	1.29
5	Abi	2-2	0.53	1832	←	1808	0.47	0-4	Shodai	0.90
6	Asahakuryu	2-2	0.47	1821	←	1844	0.53	3-1	Kinbozan	1.10
7	Oho	1-3	0.58	1898	→	1840	0.42	1-3	Shishi	1.27
8	Ura	3-1	0.50	1874	←	1870	0.50	3-1	Wakamotoharu	0.99
9	Hiradoumi	2-2	0.54	1897	←	1867	0.46	0-4	Ichiyamamoto	0.88
10	Asanoyama	3-1	0.58	1941	←	1887	0.42	3-1	Takerufuji	0.79
11	Nishikifuji	1-3	0.48	1848	→	1865	0.52	2-2	Oshoma	0.93
12	Roga	3-1	0.50	1866	←	1868	0.50	3-1	Fujiseiun	1.01
13	Fujiryoga	1-3	0.42	1853	←	1909	0.58	1-3	Kotoeiho	1.25
14	Kotoshoho	1-3	0.40	1932	←	2001	0.60	2-2	Takayasu	1.31
15	Hakunofuji	1-3	0.51	1955	→	1947	0.49	2-2	Fujinokawa	1.03
16	Atamifuji	3-1	0.61	2055	←	1975	0.39	1-3	Daieisho	0.70
17	Kirishima	3-1	0.75	2140	←	1950	0.25	3-1	Takanosho	0.42
18	Aonishiki	3-1	0.75	2113	→	1923	0.25	1-3	Gonoyama	2.00
19	Churanoumi	3-1	0.39	1928	←	2008	0.61	4-0	Kotozakura	1.37
20	Onosato	3-1	0.72	2111	←	1950	0.28	0-4	Yoshinofuji	0.48

Match Recap - Day 4

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Asasuiryu	2-1	0.59	1813	←	1747	0.41	1-2	Kazuma	0.75
2	Tobizaru	0-3	0.54	1799	←	1769	0.46	0-3	Shonannoumi	0.88
3	Asakoryu	3-0	0.63	1860	→	1768	0.37	2-1	Toshinofuji	1.43
4	Tokihayate	2-1	0.47	1806	→	1830	0.53	1-2	Abi	0.90
5	Chiyoshoma	1-2	0.44	1781	←	1824	0.56	2-1	Asahakuryu	1.19
6	Shodai	0-3	0.45	1814	→	1847	0.55	2-1	Kinbozan	0.87
7	Wakamotoharu	2-1	0.54	1867	←	1836	0.46	1-2	Shishi	0.88
8	Takerufuji	2-1	0.48	1891	←	1903	0.52	1-2	Oho	1.05
9	Fujiseiun	3-0	0.44	1860	→	1902	0.56	1-2	Hiradoumi	0.84
10	Ura	2-1	0.54	1869	←	1844	0.46	1-2	Nishikifuji	0.90
11	Roga	2-1	0.48	1858	←	1874	0.52	0-3	Ichiyamamoto	1.07
12	Asanoyama	2-1	0.62	1946	←	1860	0.38	2-1	Oshoma	0.69
13	Takanosho	3-0	0.53	1942	→	1923	0.47	2-1	Churanoumi	1.08
14	Yoshinofuji	0-3	0.47	1957	→	1982	0.53	0-3	Daieisho	0.90
15	Atamifuji	2-1	0.77	2061	←	1848	0.23	1-2	Fujiryoga	0.37
16	Kotoshoho	0-3	0.49	1936	←	1944	0.51	2-1	Fujinokawa	1.03
17	Aonishiki	3-0	0.70	2109	→	1963	0.30	0-3	Hakunofuji	1.73
18	Gonoyama	1-2	0.39	1926	→	2001	0.61	3-0	Kotozakura	0.72
19	Kirishima	2-1	0.80	2145	←	1909	0.20	1-2	Kotoeiho	0.33
20	Onosato	3-0	0.66	2107	→	1995	0.34	1-2	Takayasu	1.54

Match Recap - Day 3

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Daiseizan	2-0	0.45	1763	←	1799	0.55	2-0	Tokihayate	1.16
2	Asasuiryu	2-0	0.56	1807	→	1764	0.44	1-1	Toshinofuji	1.19
3	Shonannoumi	0-2	0.48	1775	→	1787	0.52	0-2	Chiyoshoma	0.95
4	Tobizaru	0-2	0.46	1806	→	1836	0.54	0-2	Abi	0.88
5	Asakoryu	2-0	0.55	1854	←	1819	0.45	0-2	Shodai	0.86
6	Wakamotoharu	1-1	0.58	1872	←	1816	0.42	2-0	Asahakuryu	0.79
7	Kinbozan	2-0	0.50	1840	→	1843	0.50	0-2	Shishi	0.99
8	Ura	1-1	0.46	1873	←	1902	0.54	1-1	Oho	1.13
9	Hiradoumi	1-1	0.57	1899	→	1849	0.43	0-2	Nishikifuji	1.22
10	Fujiseiun	2-0	0.45	1854	←	1885	0.55	2-0	Takerufuji	1.14
11	Ichiyamamoto	0-2	0.53	1881	→	1862	0.47	1-1	Oshoma	1.08
12	Roga	1-1	0.38	1854	←	1942	0.62	2-0	Asanoyama	1.41
13	Churanoumi	1-1	0.44	1924	←	1964	0.56	0-2	Yoshinofuji	1.18
14	Hakunofuji	0-2	0.66	1967	→	1855	0.34	0-2	Fujiryoga	1.54
15	Gonoyama	1-1	0.46	1921	→	1947	0.54	1-1	Fujinokawa	0.89
16	Atamifuji	2-0	0.66	2056	→	1938	0.34	2-0	Takanosho	1.57
17	Daieisho	0-2	0.49	1988	→	1996	0.51	2-0	Kotozakura	0.97
18	Kirishima	2-0	0.69	2142	→	2000	0.31	0-2	Takayasu	1.71
19	Aonishiki	2-0	0.72	2105	←	1940	0.28	0-2	Kotoshoho	0.47
20	Onosato	2-0	0.76	2103	←	1904	0.24	1-1	Kotoeiho	0.40

Match Recap - Day 2

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Kyokukaiyu	0-1	0.48	1755	→	1768	0.52	0-1	Toshinofuji	0.95
2	Asasuiryu	1-0	0.53	1800	←	1781	0.47	0-1	Shonannoumi	0.92
3	Tokihayate	1-0	0.50	1793	←	1793	0.50	0-1	Chiyoshoma	1.00
4	Asakoryu	1-0	0.51	1848	←	1840	0.49	0-1	Abi	0.97
5	Tobizaru	0-1	0.51	1812	→	1809	0.49	1-0	Asahakuryu	1.02
6	Oho	0-1	0.62	1909	←	1823	0.38	0-1	Shodai	0.69
7	Wakamotoharu	1-0	0.55	1870	→	1833	0.45	1-0	Kinbozan	1.17
8	Takerufuji	1-0	0.55	1882	←	1849	0.45	0-1	Shishi	0.87
9	Ura	1-0	0.45	1870	→	1905	0.55	0-1	Hiradoumi	0.86
10	Asanoyama	1-0	0.62	1939	←	1853	0.38	0-1	Nishikifuji	0.69
11	Fujiseiun	1-0	0.45	1850	←	1884	0.55	0-1	Ichiyamamoto	1.15
12	Takanosho	1-0	0.61	1936	←	1856	0.39	1-0	Oshoma	0.70
13	Roga	0-1	0.50	1857	←	1859	0.50	0-1	Fujiryoga	1.01
14	Gonoyama	0-1	0.41	1923	←	1990	0.59	0-1	Daieisho	1.30
15	Atamifuji	1-0	0.68	2050	←	1917	0.32	1-0	Churanoumi	0.55
16	Kotoeiho	0-1	0.45	1905	←	1941	0.55	1-0	Fujinokawa	1.16
17	Kirishima	1-0	0.72	2138	←	1971	0.28	0-1	Hakunofuji	0.47
18	Aonishiki	1-0	0.64	2104	←	2004	0.36	0-1	Takayasu	0.64
19	Yoshinofuji	0-1	0.47	1971	→	1992	0.53	1-0	Kotozakura	0.92
20	Onosato	1-0	0.71	2098	←	1943	0.29	0-1	Kotoshoho	0.50

Match Recap - Day 1

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Shonannoumi	0-0	0.51	1784	→	1777	0.49	0-0	Dewanoryu	1.03
2	Toshinofuji	0-0	0.47	1763	→	1787	0.53	0-0	Tokihayate	0.91
3	Asasuiryu	0-0	0.50	1795	←	1796	0.50	0-0	Chiyoshoma	1.01
4	Asakoryu	0-0	0.54	1844	←	1818	0.46	0-0	Tobizaru	0.90
5	Abi	0-0	0.55	1835	→	1801	0.45	0-0	Asahakuryu	1.15
6	Wakamotoharu	0-0	0.58	1879	←	1820	0.42	0-0	Shodai	0.78
7	Oho	0-0	0.62	1913	→	1829	0.38	0-0	Kinbozan	1.39
8	Ura	0-0	0.53	1875	←	1855	0.47	0-0	Shishi	0.92
9	Takerufuji	0-0	0.47	1887	←	1908	0.53	0-0	Hiradoumi	1.09
10	Fujiseiun	0-0	0.50	1852	←	1849	0.50	0-0	Nishikifuji	0.99
11	Asanoyama	0-0	0.59	1945	←	1882	0.41	0-0	Ichiyamamoto	0.76
12	Roga	0-0	0.50	1850	→	1850	0.50	0-0	Oshoma	1.00
13	Takanosho	0-0	0.62	1944	←	1862	0.38	0-0	Fujiryoga	0.70
14	Hakunofuji	0-0	0.58	1966	→	1912	0.42	0-0	Churanoumi	1.24
15	Yoshinofuji	0-0	0.56	1978	→	1936	0.44	0-0	Fujinokawa	1.18
16	Atamifuji	0-0	0.67	2043	←	1920	0.33	0-0	Gonoyama	0.58
17	Aonishiki	0-0	0.77	2109	←	1898	0.23	0-0	Kotoeiho	0.38
18	Takayasu	0-0	0.50	1999	→	1995	0.50	0-0	Kotozakura	1.01
19	Kirishima	0-0	0.75	2134	←	1947	0.25	0-0	Kotoshoho	0.42
20	Onosato	0-0	0.66	2094	←	1983	0.34	0-0	Daieisho	0.61