🎌 Elo on the Dohyō 🎌

Welcome to the rikishi Elo scoreboard! This page gives you a quick way to see who’s looking strongest in the current basho.

Sumo Strength by the Numbers

Each wrestler has an Elo rating, which goes up when they win and down when they lose, so the numbers shift day by day as the action unfolds.

Match odds are based on the gap between two wrestlers’ scores — a big difference means there’s a clear favorite, while a closer spread means we could be in for a real battle.

If you’d like to dive into the math behind it all, check out the Elo model details

Elo Trends for 2026 Hatsu Basho in Tokyo

Each point represents a rikishi’s current Elo rating. The rikishi are organized by banzuke ranking, and color coded by rank name. The tail above or below the point shows the change in elo over the course of the current tournament. Mouse over points to see the rikishi name.

Today’s Rikishi Power Meter

Head-to-Head Odds - Day 15

Match	East						Elo Gap	West
		Name	Record	Elo	Win Prob	Odds		Odds	Win Prob	Elo	Record	Name
1		Asahakuryu	7-7	1790	0.55	1.22	35 ←	0.82	0.45	1755	9-5	Sadanoumi
2		Ryuden	6-8	1784	0.51	1.05	9 ←	0.95	0.49	1775	7-7	Kotoeiho
3		Midorifuji	6-8	1808	0.51	1.05	9 ←	0.95	0.49	1799	6-8	Mitakeumi
4		Chiyoshoma	6-8	1807	0.48	0.93	13 →	1.08	0.52	1820	6-8	Tobizaru
5		Hatsuyama	2-12	1727	0.32	0.47	130 →	2.11	0.68	1857	8-6	Kotoshoho
6		Tomokaze	4-10	1767	0.41	0.70	61 →	1.42	0.59	1828	6-8	Roga
7		Gonoyama	7-7	1859	0.57	1.34	51 ←	0.74	0.43	1808	8-6	Asakoryu
8		Shodai	6-8	1847	0.28	0.39	163 →	2.56	0.72	2010	9-5	Asanoyama
9		Tokihayate	8-6	1834	0.46	0.84	29 →	1.18	0.54	1864	9-5	Fujinokawa
10		Oshoumi	10-4	1812	0.29	0.42	151 →	2.39	0.71	1963	11-3	Atamifuji
11		Daieisho	6-8	1988	0.69	2.19	136 ←	0.46	0.31	1851	9-5	Shishi
12		Hiradoumi	9-5	1941	0.40	0.66	73 →	1.52	0.60	2013	8-6	Wakatakakage
13		Ura	3-11	1907	0.51	1.02	4 ←	0.98	0.49	1903	5-9	Tamawashi
14		Oshoma	7-7	1861	0.40	0.67	70 →	1.50	0.60	1931	7-7	Yoshinofuji
15		Ichiyamamoto	3-11	1881	0.58	1.37	55 ←	0.73	0.42	1826	4-10	Kinbozan
16		Onokatsu	7-7	1882	0.35	0.54	108 →	1.86	0.65	1990	7-7	Wakamotoharu
17		Oho	4-10	1968	0.57	1.34	50 ←	0.75	0.43	1918	4-10	Takanosho
18		Churanoumi	8-6	1883	0.31	0.44	142 →	2.27	0.69	2025	8-6	Takayasu
19		Kirishima	10-4	2076	0.73	2.67	171 ←	0.37	0.27	1906	10-4	Abi
20		Kotozakura	8-6	2042	0.42	0.71	58 →	1.40	0.58	2101	11-3	Aonishiki
21		Hoshoryu	9-5	2138	0.47	0.89	21 →	1.13	0.53	2159	10-4	Onosato

Day-by-day Review for 2026 Hatsu Basho in Tokyo

Match Recap - Day 15

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Asahakuryu	7-7	0.55	1790	←	1755	0.45	9-5	Sadanoumi	0.86
2	Ryuden	6-8	0.51	1784	→	1775	0.49	7-7	Kotoeiho	1.04
3	Midorifuji	6-8	0.51	1808	→	1799	0.49	6-8	Mitakeumi	1.04
4	Chiyoshoma	6-8	0.48	1807	→	1820	0.52	6-8	Tobizaru	0.95
5	Hatsuyama	2-12	0.32	1727	→	1857	0.68	8-6	Kotoshoho	0.56
6	Tomokaze	4-10	0.41	1767	→	1828	0.59	6-8	Roga	0.77
7	Gonoyama	7-7	0.57	1859	→	1808	0.43	8-6	Asakoryu	1.23
8	Shodai	6-8	0.28	1847	←	2010	0.72	9-5	Asanoyama	1.83
9	Tokihayate	8-6	0.46	1834	→	1864	0.54	9-5	Fujinokawa	0.88
10	Oshoumi	10-4	0.29	1812	→	1963	0.71	11-3	Atamifuji	0.50
11	Daieisho	6-8	0.69	1988	←	1851	0.31	9-5	Shishi	0.54
12	Hiradoumi	9-5	0.40	1941	→	2013	0.60	8-6	Wakatakakage	0.73
13	Ura	3-11	0.51	1907	←	1903	0.49	5-9	Tamawashi	0.99
14	Oshoma	7-7	0.40	1861	→	1931	0.60	7-7	Yoshinofuji	0.74
15	Ichiyamamoto	3-11	0.58	1881	←	1826	0.42	4-10	Kinbozan	0.79
16	Onokatsu	7-7	0.35	1882	→	1990	0.65	7-7	Wakamotoharu	0.62
17	Oho	4-10	0.57	1968	→	1918	0.43	4-10	Takanosho	1.22
18	Churanoumi	8-6	0.31	1883	←	2025	0.69	8-6	Takayasu	1.71
19	Kirishima	10-4	0.73	2076	←	1906	0.27	10-4	Abi	0.46
20	Kotozakura	8-6	0.42	2042	→	2101	0.58	11-3	Aonishiki	0.78
21	Hoshoryu	9-5	0.47	2138	←	2159	0.53	10-4	Onosato	1.09

Match Recap - Day 14

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Mitakeumi	6-7	0.40	1794	→	1861	0.60	7-6	Kotoshoho	0.75
2	Gonoyama	6-7	0.68	1853	←	1722	0.32	2-11	Hatsuyama	0.56
3	Shodai	6-7	0.59	1851	→	1787	0.41	6-7	Asahakuryu	1.29
4	Midorifuji	5-8	0.47	1813	←	1834	0.53	4-9	Kinbozan	1.09
5	Oshoma	6-7	0.63	1868	←	1777	0.37	6-7	Ryuden	0.67
6	Asakoryu	8-5	0.41	1800	→	1860	0.59	8-5	Fujinokawa	0.77
7	Hiradoumi	9-4	0.67	1933	→	1812	0.33	9-4	Oshoumi	1.59
8	Tobizaru	5-8	0.43	1823	←	1874	0.57	7-6	Onokatsu	1.23
9	Tamawashi	4-9	0.69	1911	←	1773	0.31	4-9	Tomokaze	0.54
10	Roga	6-7	0.41	1822	→	1888	0.59	7-6	Churanoumi	0.75
11	Takanosho	4-9	0.64	1911	→	1811	0.36	5-8	Chiyoshoma	1.47
12	Daieisho	6-7	0.46	1983	→	2009	0.54	7-6	Wakatakakage	0.89
13	Ichiyamamoto	3-10	0.56	1876	→	1832	0.44	7-6	Tokihayate	1.20
14	Shishi	9-4	0.38	1852	→	1936	0.62	6-7	Yoshinofuji	0.69
15	Oho	4-9	0.59	1976	→	1911	0.41	2-11	Ura	1.30
16	Asanoyama	9-4	0.54	2014	→	1988	0.46	6-7	Wakamotoharu	1.11
17	Kirishima	10-3	0.66	2073	→	1959	0.34	10-3	Atamifuji	1.55
18	Abi	9-4	0.35	1911	←	2021	0.65	8-5	Takayasu	1.53
19	Hoshoryu	8-5	0.64	2145	←	2045	0.36	8-5	Kotozakura	0.64
20	Aonishiki	11-2	0.41	2093	→	2154	0.59	9-4	Onosato	0.77

Match Recap - Day 13

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Asahakuryu	5-7	0.51	1793	←	1786	0.49	7-5	Kotoeiho	0.97
2	Chiyoshoma	5-7	0.55	1808	→	1773	0.45	5-7	Ryuden	1.15
3	Tokihayate	6-6	0.58	1836	←	1778	0.42	4-8	Tomokaze	0.78
4	Tobizaru	5-7	0.50	1817	→	1817	0.50	5-7	Roga	1.00
5	Gonoyama	5-7	0.55	1848	←	1816	0.45	5-7	Midorifuji	0.87
6	Hatsuyama	1-11	0.35	1727	←	1838	0.65	4-8	Kinbozan	1.53
7	Shodai	6-6	0.57	1846	→	1797	0.43	5-7	Mitakeumi	1.22
8	Kotoshoho	7-5	0.49	1859	→	1865	0.51	7-5	Fujinokawa	0.98
9	Oshoma	6-6	0.62	1873	→	1792	0.38	7-5	Asakoryu	1.38
10	Abi	9-3	0.43	1912	→	1961	0.57	9-3	Atamifuji	0.81
11	Onokatsu	6-6	0.39	1867	←	1948	0.61	5-7	Hakunofuji	1.38
12	Churanoumi	7-5	0.34	1893	→	2007	0.66	6-6	Wakatakakage	0.60
13	Ura	2-10	0.50	1907	→	1905	0.50	3-9	Takanosho	1.01
14	Daieisho	5-7	0.56	1981	←	1939	0.44	6-6	Yoshinofuji	0.84
15	Ichiyamamoto	2-10	0.44	1879	←	1918	0.56	4-8	Tamawashi	1.17
16	Oshoumi	9-3	0.25	1804	→	1992	0.75	5-7	Wakamotoharu	0.42
17	Oho	4-8	0.58	1985	→	1928	0.42	8-4	Hiradoumi	1.26
18	Asanoyama	9-3	0.48	2009	→	2025	0.52	7-5	Takayasu	0.94
19	Kirishima	9-3	0.78	2068	←	1845	0.22	9-3	Shishi	0.35
20	Kotozakura	8-4	0.35	2044	→	2151	0.65	8-4	Onosato	0.62
21	Hoshoryu	8-4	0.59	2150	→	2089	0.41	10-2	Aonishiki	1.28

Match Recap - Day 12

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Tobizaru	4-7	0.53	1811	←	1793	0.47	5-6	Mitakeumi	0.93
2	Chiyoshoma	4-7	0.54	1812	←	1782	0.46	4-7	Tomokaze	0.88
3	Tokihayate	6-5	0.57	1832	→	1785	0.43	6-5	Asakoryu	1.21
4	Asahakuryu	5-6	0.41	1799	→	1865	0.59	6-5	Kotoshoho	0.75
5	Hatsuyama	1-10	0.39	1732	→	1813	0.61	4-7	Roga	0.70
6	Shodai	5-6	0.55	1843	←	1810	0.45	5-6	Midorifuji	0.87
7	Ryuden	4-7	0.42	1779	←	1833	0.58	4-7	Kinbozan	1.24
8	Asanoyama	8-3	0.69	2005	←	1870	0.31	7-4	Fujinokawa	0.55
9	Nishikifuji	6-5	0.49	1849	→	1859	0.51	5-6	Onokatsu	0.96
10	Tamawashi	4-7	0.60	1923	→	1852	0.40	4-7	Gonoyama	1.33
11	Oshoumi	8-3	0.37	1799	←	1889	0.63	7-4	Churanoumi	1.42
12	Daieisho	4-7	0.65	1985	←	1878	0.35	6-5	Oshoma	0.62
13	Ura	1-10	0.44	1912	←	1953	0.56	5-6	Hakunofuji	1.18
14	Ichiyamamoto	2-9	0.46	1874	→	1899	0.54	2-9	Takanosho	0.90
15	Wakatakakage	5-6	0.61	2013	←	1934	0.39	6-5	Yoshinofuji	0.71
16	Oho	4-7	0.70	1991	→	1847	0.30	8-3	Shishi	1.72
17	Hiradoumi	7-4	0.42	1931	←	1987	0.58	5-6	Wakamotoharu	1.25
18	Kotozakura	7-4	0.69	2049	←	1908	0.31	9-2	Abi	0.53
19	Atamifuji	9-2	0.32	1953	→	2085	0.68	9-2	Aonishiki	0.56
20	Hoshoryu	8-3	0.60	2147	→	2073	0.40	8-3	Kirishima	1.34
21	Takayasu	7-4	0.33	2028	→	2150	0.67	7-4	Onosato	0.58

Match Recap - Day 11

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Tobizaru	3-7	0.60	1807	←	1735	0.40	1-9	Hatsuyama	0.73
2	Shishi	8-2	0.41	1840	→	1906	0.59	8-2	Abi	0.75
3	Midorifuji	4-6	0.53	1808	←	1785	0.47	4-6	Ryuden	0.91
4	Oshoumi	7-3	0.43	1802	←	1853	0.57	6-4	Nishikifuji	1.23
5	Chiyoshoma	4-6	0.54	1809	→	1780	0.46	5-5	Asakoryu	1.13
6	Tokihayate	5-5	0.54	1835	←	1806	0.46	5-5	Asahakuryu	0.88
7	Gonoyama	4-6	0.57	1845	→	1797	0.43	4-6	Mitakeumi	1.21
8	Shodai	4-6	0.60	1848	←	1778	0.40	4-6	Tomokaze	0.74
9	Oshoma	6-4	0.58	1875	→	1819	0.42	3-7	Roga	1.25
10	Hiradoumi	7-3	0.39	1925	→	2002	0.61	7-3	Asanoyama	0.72
11	Kotoshoho	6-4	0.46	1868	→	1893	0.54	6-4	Churanoumi	0.90
12	Tamawashi	4-6	0.62	1919	→	1837	0.38	3-7	Kinbozan	1.38
13	Fujinokawa	7-3	0.40	1873	→	1943	0.60	8-2	Atamifuji	0.74
14	Daieisho	4-6	0.67	1979	→	1857	0.33	4-6	Onokatsu	1.60
15	Ichiyamamoto	1-9	0.32	1879	←	2010	0.68	5-5	Wakatakakage	1.64
16	Ura	1-9	0.41	1917	→	1980	0.59	4-6	Wakamotoharu	0.76
17	Oho	4-6	0.58	1993	→	1937	0.42	5-5	Yoshinofuji	1.25
18	Hakunofuji	5-5	0.33	1958	→	2081	0.67	8-2	Aonishiki	0.58
19	Kotozakura	7-3	0.69	2042	→	1903	0.31	1-9	Takanosho	1.69
20	Kirishima	8-2	0.38	2077	→	2161	0.62	6-4	Onosato	0.69
21	Hoshoryu	7-3	0.67	2147	←	2025	0.33	7-3	Takayasu	0.58

Match Recap - Day 10

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Tobizaru	2-7	0.53	1809	←	1787	0.47	4-5	Ryuden	0.91
2	Mitakeumi	4-5	0.51	1794	→	1786	0.49	3-6	Tomokaze	1.03
3	Midorifuji	3-6	0.61	1811	←	1731	0.39	1-8	Hatsuyama	0.70
4	Oshoumi	7-2	0.34	1798	→	1910	0.66	7-2	Abi	0.61
5	Chiyoshoma	3-6	0.50	1813	←	1811	0.50	5-4	Asahakuryu	0.99
6	Asakoryu	4-5	0.41	1782	←	1846	0.59	6-3	Nishikifuji	1.29
7	Asanoyama	6-3	0.72	2001	←	1839	0.28	3-6	Kinbozan	0.48
8	Oshoma	5-4	0.53	1882	←	1863	0.47	6-3	Kotoshoho	0.93
9	Shishi	7-2	0.45	1834	←	1867	0.55	7-2	Fujinokawa	1.15
10	Hiradoumi	6-3	0.63	1920	←	1831	0.37	5-4	Tokihayate	0.68
11	Roga	3-6	0.44	1826	→	1864	0.56	3-6	Onokatsu	0.85
12	Tamawashi	3-6	0.59	1917	←	1852	0.41	4-5	Shodai	0.76
13	Gonoyama	3-6	0.43	1841	←	1886	0.57	6-3	Churanoumi	1.20
14	Ura	1-8	0.43	1921	→	1973	0.57	3-6	Daieisho	0.80
15	Hakunofuji	5-4	0.42	1960	→	2013	0.58	4-5	Wakatakakage	0.80
16	Ichiyamamoto	1-8	0.38	1884	→	1972	0.62	3-6	Wakamotoharu	0.68
17	Yoshinofuji	5-4	0.37	1933	→	2029	0.63	6-3	Takayasu	0.66
18	Kotozakura	6-3	0.45	2038	←	2073	0.55	8-1	Kirishima	1.15
19	Takanosho	1-8	0.27	1909	→	2078	0.73	7-2	Aonishiki	0.46
20	Hoshoryu	6-3	0.73	2157	←	1988	0.27	4-5	Oho	0.46
21	Atamifuji	7-2	0.20	1933	←	2171	0.80	6-3	Onosato	2.30

Match Recap - Day 9

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Oshoumi	6-2	0.54	1801	←	1776	0.46	4-4	Asakoryu	0.90
2	Shishi	6-2	0.57	1827	←	1780	0.43	4-4	Ryuden	0.82
3	Hatsuyama	0-8	0.42	1737	←	1792	0.58	3-5	Tomokaze	1.25
4	Tobizaru	2-6	0.24	1806	→	2008	0.76	5-3	Asanoyama	0.39
5	Asahakuryu	5-3	0.47	1814	→	1838	0.53	5-3	Nishikifuji	0.90
6	Chiyoshoma	3-5	0.51	1812	→	1801	0.49	3-5	Mitakeumi	1.04
7	Abi	7-1	0.56	1907	→	1867	0.44	5-3	Kotoshoho	1.18
8	Tokihayate	4-4	0.54	1834	←	1808	0.46	3-5	Midorifuji	0.89
9	Roga	3-5	0.46	1832	→	1862	0.54	6-2	Fujinokawa	0.88
10	Gonoyama	2-6	0.46	1843	←	1870	0.54	3-5	Onokatsu	1.12
11	Hiradoumi	5-3	0.61	1915	←	1835	0.39	3-5	Kinbozan	0.70
12	Shodai	4-4	0.46	1848	→	1879	0.54	5-3	Churanoumi	0.88
13	Tamawashi	2-6	0.55	1925	←	1888	0.45	5-3	Oshoma	0.86
14	Daieisho	2-6	0.52	1966	←	1953	0.48	5-3	Hakunofuji	0.94
15	Takanosho	1-7	0.46	1913	→	1938	0.54	4-4	Yoshinofuji	0.90
16	Oho	3-5	0.63	1984	←	1889	0.37	1-7	Ichiyamamoto	0.66
17	Kirishima	7-1	0.69	2066	←	1924	0.31	1-7	Ura	0.53
18	Wakatakakage	4-4	0.40	2011	→	2082	0.60	6-2	Aonishiki	0.74
19	Kotozakura	5-3	0.53	2043	←	2025	0.47	6-2	Takayasu	0.93
20	Wakamotoharu	2-6	0.23	1968	←	2177	0.77	6-2	Onosato	2.12
21	Hoshoryu	6-2	0.80	2164	→	1927	0.20	6-2	Atamifuji	2.30

Match Recap - Day 8

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Shishi	5-2	0.52	1821	←	1808	0.48	5-2	Asahakuryu	0.95
2	Asakoryu	3-4	0.45	1771	←	1807	0.55	3-4	Mitakeumi	1.16
3	Tobizaru	1-6	0.53	1814	←	1793	0.47	6-1	Oshoumi	0.92
4	Ryuden	3-4	0.47	1774	←	1794	0.53	3-4	Tomokaze	1.09
5	Chiyoshoma	2-5	0.61	1818	←	1743	0.39	0-7	Hatsuyama	0.72
6	Asanoyama	5-2	0.73	2007	→	1834	0.27	4-3	Nishikifuji	1.89
7	Tokihayate	4-3	0.39	1830	→	1909	0.61	6-1	Abi	0.71
8	Midorifuji	2-5	0.47	1814	←	1836	0.53	3-4	Roga	1.10
9	Shodai	3-4	0.49	1854	←	1860	0.51	5-2	Kotoshoho	1.02
10	Hiradoumi	4-3	0.60	1912	←	1840	0.40	2-5	Gonoyama	0.73
11	Kinbozan	2-5	0.45	1839	←	1873	0.55	3-4	Onokatsu	1.15
12	Tamawashi	2-5	0.59	1932	→	1865	0.41	5-2	Fujinokawa	1.30
13	Oshoma	5-2	0.46	1895	→	1920	0.54	5-2	Atamifuji	0.90
14	Takanosho	1-6	0.55	1909	→	1873	0.45	4-3	Churanoumi	1.16
15	Ura	1-6	0.37	1922	→	2017	0.63	3-4	Wakatakakage	0.66
16	Yoshinofuji	4-3	0.46	1939	→	1970	0.54	1-6	Wakamotoharu	0.88
17	Ichiyamamoto	1-6	0.33	1895	→	2021	0.67	5-2	Takayasu	0.57
18	Kotozakura	5-2	0.57	2037	→	1989	0.43	2-5	Oho	1.21
19	Kirishima	6-1	0.48	2062	←	2077	0.52	6-1	Aonishiki	1.06
20	Hoshoryu	6-1	0.75	2160	→	1970	0.25	1-6	Daieisho	1.99
21	Hakunofuji	4-3	0.22	1953	←	2174	0.78	6-1	Onosato	2.19

Match Recap - Day 7

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Ryuden	2-4	0.53	1769	←	1749	0.47	0-6	Hatsuyama	0.92
2	Oshoumi	5-1	0.50	1786	←	1785	0.50	3-3	Tomokaze	1.00
3	Tobizaru	1-5	0.57	1822	→	1775	0.43	2-4	Asakoryu	1.20
4	Asanoyama	4-2	0.65	2014	←	1904	0.35	6-0	Abi	0.62
5	Midorifuji	2-4	0.52	1816	→	1805	0.48	4-2	Asahakuryu	1.05
6	Chiyoshoma	2-4	0.51	1825	→	1819	0.49	4-2	Shishi	1.02
7	Tokihayate	3-3	0.53	1833	←	1811	0.47	3-3	Mitakeumi	0.91
8	Nishikifuji	3-3	0.51	1839	←	1832	0.49	3-3	Roga	0.97
9	Kotoshoho	4-2	0.53	1854	←	1835	0.47	2-4	Kinbozan	0.93
10	Oshoma	5-1	0.57	1899	→	1846	0.43	1-5	Gonoyama	1.23
11	Hiradoumi	3-3	0.58	1916	←	1861	0.42	3-3	Shodai	0.79
12	Fujinokawa	5-1	0.48	1858	→	1870	0.52	3-3	Churanoumi	0.95
13	Onokatsu	3-3	0.43	1866	→	1913	0.57	4-2	Atamifuji	0.82
14	Takanosho	0-6	0.46	1912	←	1938	0.54	2-4	Tamawashi	1.11
15	Ichiyamamoto	1-5	0.46	1898	→	1929	0.54	0-6	Ura	0.88
16	Oho	2-4	0.46	1992	→	2023	0.54	4-2	Takayasu	0.88
17	Kirishima	5-1	0.68	2061	←	1932	0.32	4-2	Yoshinofuji	0.56
18	Wakamotoharu	1-5	0.35	1967	→	2072	0.65	5-1	Aonishiki	0.63
19	Kotozakura	4-2	0.52	2036	←	2020	0.48	3-3	Wakatakakage	0.94
20	Daieisho	1-5	0.25	1976	→	2171	0.75	5-1	Onosato	0.41
21	Hoshoryu	5-1	0.77	2157	←	1946	0.23	4-2	Hakunofuji	0.38

Match Recap - Day 6

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Shishi	3-2	0.60	1825	←	1755	0.40	0-5	Hatsuyama	0.74
2	Oshoumi	4-1	0.46	1778	←	1805	0.54	3-2	Mitakeumi	1.12
3	Tobizaru	1-4	0.53	1829	→	1811	0.47	3-2	Asahakuryu	1.07
4	Asanoyama	4-1	0.79	2011	→	1781	0.21	2-3	Tomokaze	2.25
5	Asakoryu	2-3	0.33	1778	→	1899	0.67	5-0	Abi	0.59
6	Ryuden	1-4	0.41	1773	←	1836	0.59	3-2	Nishikifuji	1.28
7	Midorifuji	2-3	0.45	1811	→	1847	0.55	3-2	Kotoshoho	0.86
8	Chiyoshoma	2-3	0.49	1830	→	1836	0.51	2-3	Roga	0.97
9	Tokihayate	3-2	0.48	1827	→	1842	0.52	1-4	Kinbozan	0.94
10	Gonoyama	1-4	0.50	1853	→	1851	0.50	4-1	Fujinokawa	1.01
11	Shodai	3-2	0.50	1864	→	1862	0.50	2-3	Onokatsu	1.01
12	Oshoma	5-0	0.52	1892	→	1876	0.48	2-3	Churanoumi	1.07
13	Hiradoumi	3-2	0.51	1913	→	1906	0.49	3-2	Atamifuji	1.03
14	Tamawashi	2-3	0.50	1943	→	1941	0.50	3-2	Hakunofuji	1.01
15	Ura	0-5	0.52	1935	→	1924	0.48	3-2	Yoshinofuji	1.04
16	Oho	2-3	0.52	1985	→	1973	0.48	0-5	Wakamotoharu	1.05
17	Kirishima	4-1	0.72	2066	←	1901	0.28	1-4	Ichiyamamoto	0.47
18	Kotozakura	3-2	0.59	2044	←	1982	0.41	1-4	Daieisho	0.77
19	Takayasu	4-1	0.43	2017	→	2070	0.57	4-1	Aonishiki	0.80
20	Hoshoryu	4-1	0.80	2154	←	1916	0.20	0-5	Takanosho	0.33
21	Wakatakakage	3-2	0.30	2022	→	2172	0.70	4-1	Onosato	0.51

Match Recap - Day 5

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Ryuden	1-3	0.21	1780	→	2007	0.79	3-1	Asanoyama	0.35
2	Hatsuyama	0-4	0.45	1762	→	1800	0.55	2-2	Mitakeumi	0.85
3	Shishi	3-1	0.58	1825	→	1772	0.42	3-1	Oshoumi	1.24
4	Asahakuryu	3-1	0.54	1814	→	1786	0.46	1-3	Tomokaze	1.12
5	Midorifuji	1-3	0.55	1808	←	1772	0.45	2-2	Asakoryu	0.86
6	Tobizaru	1-3	0.49	1836	→	1842	0.51	2-2	Nishikifuji	0.98
7	Chiyoshoma	2-2	0.41	1833	→	1893	0.59	4-0	Abi	0.77
8	Tokihayate	2-2	0.49	1824	←	1833	0.51	2-2	Roga	1.04
9	Gonoyama	1-3	0.52	1857	→	1841	0.48	2-2	Kotoshoho	1.07
10	Shodai	3-1	0.52	1860	→	1843	0.48	3-1	Fujinokawa	1.07
11	Oshoma	4-0	0.55	1885	←	1848	0.45	1-3	Kinbozan	0.86
12	Hiradoumi	2-2	0.55	1917	←	1881	0.45	2-2	Churanoumi	0.86
13	Tamawashi	2-2	0.60	1939	→	1866	0.40	1-3	Onokatsu	1.33
14	Ura	0-4	0.56	1938	→	1900	0.44	2-2	Atamifuji	1.17
15	Ichiyamamoto	1-3	0.47	1895	→	1914	0.53	2-2	Yoshinofuji	0.92
16	Wakamotoharu	0-4	0.45	1979	→	2012	0.55	3-1	Takayasu	0.87
17	Kirishima	4-0	0.61	2060	→	1980	0.39	1-3	Oho	1.37
18	Daieisho	1-3	0.38	1990	→	2075	0.62	3-1	Aonishiki	0.69
19	Kotozakura	3-1	0.64	2049	→	1946	0.36	2-2	Hakunofuji	1.49
20	Takanosho	0-4	0.18	1921	→	2179	0.82	3-1	Onosato	0.29
21	Hoshoryu	3-1	0.69	2154	←	2016	0.31	3-1	Wakatakakage	0.54

Match Recap - Day 4

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Ryuden	1-2	0.53	1786	→	1767	0.47	2-1	Oshoumi	1.08
2	Hatsuyama	0-3	0.50	1768	→	1769	0.50	1-2	Asakoryu	1.00
3	Shishi	3-0	0.25	1818	→	2005	0.75	2-1	Asanoyama	0.42
4	Asahakuryu	3-0	0.51	1808	→	1801	0.49	1-2	Mitakeumi	1.03
5	Midorifuji	0-3	0.46	1815	←	1843	0.54	1-2	Tobizaru	1.12
6	Tomokaze	1-2	0.36	1790	→	1887	0.64	3-0	Abi	0.65
7	Tokihayate	1-2	0.50	1830	←	1827	0.50	2-1	Chiyoshoma	0.99
8	Nishikifuji	2-1	0.51	1844	→	1838	0.49	1-2	Kotoshoho	1.03
9	Shodai	2-1	0.51	1864	←	1854	0.49	1-2	Gonoyama	0.96
10	Roga	1-2	0.48	1839	←	1852	0.52	1-2	Kinbozan	1.05
11	Hiradoumi	2-1	0.55	1914	→	1878	0.45	3-0	Oshoma	1.16
12	Fujinokawa	2-1	0.46	1837	←	1862	0.54	1-2	Onokatsu	1.11
13	Daieisho	1-2	0.58	1997	→	1943	0.42	1-2	Tamawashi	1.24
14	Churanoumi	2-1	0.48	1884	→	1896	0.52	1-2	Atamifuji	0.95
15	Takanosho	0-3	0.38	1928	→	2011	0.62	2-1	Wakatakakage	0.70
16	Kirishima	3-0	0.60	2055	←	1985	0.40	0-3	Wakamotoharu	0.74
17	Hakunofuji	2-1	0.41	1947	→	2008	0.59	2-1	Takayasu	0.77
18	Kotozakura	3-0	0.70	2044	→	1898	0.30	0-3	Ichiyamamoto	1.73
19	Oho	0-3	0.38	1986	←	2071	0.62	3-0	Aonishiki	1.39
20	Hoshoryu	2-1	0.78	2161	←	1942	0.22	0-3	Ura	0.36
21	Yoshinofuji	1-2	0.18	1907	←	2176	0.82	3-0	Onosato	2.51

Match Recap - Day 3

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Hatsuyama	0-2	0.51	1772	→	1768	0.49	1-1	Oshoumi	1.01
2	Ryuden	1-1	0.48	1789	→	1802	0.52	2-0	Asahakuryu	0.95
3	Asanoyama	1-1	0.77	2005	←	1798	0.23	1-1	Mitakeumi	0.38
4	Asakoryu	0-2	0.48	1774	←	1785	0.52	1-1	Tomokaze	1.04
5	Tobizaru	1-1	0.55	1846	→	1812	0.45	2-0	Shishi	1.15
6	Abi	2-0	0.56	1882	←	1838	0.44	2-0	Nishikifuji	0.83
7	Chiyoshoma	1-1	0.50	1822	←	1822	0.50	0-2	Midorifuji	1.00
8	Kotoshoho	0-2	0.50	1846	←	1843	0.50	1-1	Roga	0.99
9	Gonoyama	0-2	0.54	1860	←	1833	0.46	1-1	Tokihayate	0.89
10	Kinbozan	1-1	0.52	1848	→	1832	0.48	1-1	Fujinokawa	1.07
11	Oshoma	2-0	0.52	1871	←	1858	0.48	2-0	Shodai	0.95
12	Onokatsu	0-2	0.49	1868	←	1875	0.51	2-0	Churanoumi	1.03
13	Tamawashi	1-1	0.53	1940	→	1919	0.47	1-1	Hiradoumi	1.09
14	Takanosho	0-2	0.55	1933	→	1901	0.45	0-2	Atamifuji	1.14
15	Oho	0-2	0.48	1990	→	2007	0.52	1-1	Wakatakakage	0.93
16	Daieisho	1-1	0.49	2002	→	2012	0.51	1-1	Takayasu	0.96
17	Kirishima	2-0	0.65	2050	←	1939	0.35	2-0	Hakunofuji	0.61
18	Ichiyamamoto	0-2	0.28	1900	→	2066	0.72	2-0	Aonishiki	0.47
19	Kotozakura	2-0	0.57	2039	←	1992	0.43	0-2	Wakamotoharu	0.82
20	Ura	0-2	0.21	1947	→	2174	0.79	2-0	Onosato	0.35
21	Hoshoryu	2-0	0.81	2158	→	1912	0.19	0-2	Yoshinofuji	2.36

Match Recap - Day 2

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Asanoyama	0-1	0.79	2012	←	1778	0.21	0-1	Hatsuyama	0.33
2	Asahakuryu	1-0	0.56	1798	←	1758	0.44	1-0	Oshoumi	0.84
3	Shishi	1-0	0.54	1806	←	1778	0.46	0-1	Asakoryu	0.89
4	Ryuden	1-0	0.47	1785	→	1804	0.53	0-1	Mitakeumi	0.92
5	Midorifuji	0-1	0.56	1829	→	1787	0.44	0-1	Tomokaze	1.18
6	Tobizaru	1-0	0.45	1844	→	1881	0.55	1-0	Abi	0.86
7	Tokihayate	1-0	0.50	1829	→	1831	0.50	1-0	Nishikifuji	0.99
8	Chiyoshoma	0-1	0.46	1825	←	1854	0.54	0-1	Kotoshoho	1.12
9	Shodai	1-0	0.52	1854	←	1839	0.48	1-0	Roga	0.94
10	Gonoyama	0-1	0.52	1863	→	1852	0.48	0-1	Kinbozan	1.05
11	Hiradoumi	1-0	0.61	1917	→	1837	0.39	0-1	Fujinokawa	1.37
12	Oshoma	1-0	0.49	1865	←	1871	0.51	0-1	Onokatsu	1.03
13	Daieisho	1-0	0.68	1997	→	1867	0.32	1-0	Churanoumi	1.64
14	Tamawashi	0-1	0.56	1946	←	1904	0.44	0-1	Atamifuji	0.84
15	Hakunofuji	1-0	0.41	1931	←	1996	0.59	0-1	Wakamotoharu	1.30
16	Kirishima	1-0	0.65	2044	←	1938	0.35	0-1	Takanosho	0.63
17	Wakatakakage	0-1	0.51	2011	←	2006	0.49	1-0	Takayasu	0.98
18	Kotozakura	1-0	0.62	2037	←	1951	0.38	0-1	Ura	0.69
19	Yoshinofuji	0-1	0.30	1917	→	2061	0.70	1-0	Aonishiki	0.52
20	Hoshoryu	1-0	0.81	2154	←	1899	0.19	0-1	Ichiyamamoto	0.30
21	Oho	0-1	0.26	1994	→	2174	0.74	1-0	Onosato	0.44

Match Recap - Day 1

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Asahakuryu	0-0	0.53	1801	←	1782	0.47	0-0	Hatsuyama	0.92
2	Asanoyama	0-0	0.82	2010	→	1749	0.18	0-0	Oshoumi	2.46
3	Ryuden	0-0	0.52	1786	←	1774	0.48	0-0	Asakoryu	0.95
4	Shishi	0-0	0.50	1803	←	1805	0.50	0-0	Mitakeumi	1.01
5	Tobizaru	0-0	0.60	1850	←	1780	0.40	0-0	Tomokaze	0.74
6	Midorifuji	0-0	0.42	1836	→	1889	0.58	0-0	Abi	0.80
7	Chiyoshoma	0-0	0.49	1818	→	1827	0.51	0-0	Nishikifuji	0.96
8	Tokihayate	0-0	0.46	1833	←	1861	0.54	0-0	Kotoshoho	1.12
9	Gonoyama	0-0	0.52	1856	→	1844	0.48	0-0	Roga	1.05
10	Shodai	0-0	0.52	1860	←	1848	0.48	0-0	Kinbozan	0.95
11	Oshoma	0-0	0.53	1861	←	1839	0.47	0-0	Fujinokawa	0.91
12	Hiradoumi	0-0	0.58	1925	←	1868	0.42	0-0	Onokatsu	0.78
13	Tamawashi	0-0	0.62	1943	→	1861	0.38	0-0	Churanoumi	1.38
14	Daieisho	0-0	0.63	1993	←	1902	0.37	0-0	Atamifuji	0.67
15	Oho	0-0	0.59	1989	→	1926	0.41	0-0	Hakunofuji	1.28
16	Takanosho	0-0	0.41	1941	→	2001	0.59	0-0	Takayasu	0.77
17	Kirishima	0-0	0.54	2039	←	2011	0.46	0-0	Wakatakakage	0.89
18	Ura	0-0	0.36	1953	→	2054	0.64	0-0	Aonishiki	0.64
19	Kotozakura	0-0	0.66	2040	←	1922	0.34	0-0	Yoshinofuji	0.59
20	Ichiyamamoto	0-0	0.16	1890	→	2182	0.84	0-0	Onosato	0.25
21	Hoshoryu	0-0	0.70	2150	←	2002	0.30	0-0	Wakamotoharu	0.51