🎌 Elo on the Dohyō 🎌

Welcome to the rikishi Elo scoreboard! This page gives you a quick way to see who’s looking strongest in the current basho.

Sumo Strength by the Numbers

Each wrestler has an Elo rating, which goes up when they win and down when they lose, so the numbers shift day by day as the action unfolds.

Match odds are based on the gap between two wrestlers’ scores — a big difference means there’s a clear favorite, while a closer spread means we could be in for a real battle.

If you’d like to dive into the math behind it all, check out the Elo model details

Elo Trends for 2026 Natsu Basho in Tokyo

Each point represents a rikishi’s current Elo rating. The rikishi are organized by banzuke ranking, and color coded by rank name. The tail above or below the point shows the change in elo over the course of the current tournament. Mouse over points to see the rikishi name.

Tournament Summary

Final Standings — 2026 Natsu Basho in Tokyo

	Name	Rank	Record	Final Elo	Δ Elo	Actual vs Expected wins
	Fujiryoga	Maegashira	10-5	1812	63	+4.0
	Ryuden	Maegashira	5-10	1764	−16	−1.9
	Wakanosho	Maegashira	9-6	1814	15	+1.7
	Oshoumi	Maegashira	4-11	1757	−27	−2.7
	Tobizaru	Maegashira	9-6	1845	26	+2.0
	Roga	Maegashira	9-6	1824	16	+1.7
	Mitakeumi	Maegashira	8-7	1826	8	+0.6
	Tamawashi	Maegashira	2-13	1780	−73	−5.6
	Kotoeiho	Maegashira	10-5	1856	45	+3.3
	Tokihayate	Maegashira	4-11	1770	−49	−2.8
	Shishi	Maegashira	6-9	1803	−26	−0.9
	Kinbozan	Maegashira	6-9	1812	−17	−1.5
	Ura	Maegashira	10-5	1903	22	+2.3
	Hakunofuji	Maegashira	11-4	1945	42	+2.6
	Asanoyama	Maegashira	7-5	1949	−18	−0.7
	Nishikifuji	Maegashira	5-10	1814	−27	−2.5
	Abi	Maegashira	5-10	1857	−47	−3.1
	Asahakuryu	Maegashira	5-10	1810	−35	−2.4
	Oshoma	Maegashira	8-7	1860	25	+1.0
	Asakoryu	Maegashira	3-4	1837	−6	−0.3
	Chiyoshoma	Maegashira	5-10	1823	−11	−1.7
	Fujiseiun	Maegashira	7-8	1848	13	+0.5
	Churanoumi	Maegashira	9-6	1898	18	+1.7
	Shodai	Maegashira	6-9	1855	6	−0.2
	Wakamotoharu	Maegashira	5-10	1904	−44	−2.6
	Gonoyama	Maegashira	8-7	1915	26	+1.2
	Daieisho	Maegashira	7-8	1966	−22	−1.0
	Oho	Maegashira	9-6	1973	16	+1.7
	Hiradoumi	Maegashira	7-8	1931	0	−0.2
	Ichiyamamoto	Maegashira	6-9	1904	4	−0.2
	Yoshinofuji	Maegashira	11-4	1991	49	+3.0
	Takanosho	Maegashira	7-8	1937	−18	−0.4
	Fujinokawa	Maegashira	7-8	1920	14	+0.4
	Takayasu	Komusubi	2-2	1993	6	−0.1
	Wakatakakage	Komusubi	12-3	2066	26	+2.3
	Kotoshoho	Sekiwake	9-6	1951	28	+1.8
	Atamifuji	Sekiwake	9-6	1999	−8	0.0
	Kirishima	Ozeki	12-3	2117	1	+0.8
	Aonishiki	Ozeki	NA	NA	NA	NA
	Kotozakura	Ozeki	3-9	1990	−51	−4.6
	Onosato	Yokozuna	NA	NA	NA	NA
	Hoshoryu	Yokozuna	0-2	2132	−14	−1.5

Day-by-day Review for 2026 Natsu Basho in Tokyo

Match Recap - Day 15

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Dewanoryu	6-8	0.45	1733	←	1765	0.55	4-10	Oshoumi	1.14
2	Shishi	5-9	0.52	1789	←	1776	0.48	5-9	Ryuden	0.95
3	Tobizaru	9-5	0.56	1856	→	1815	0.44	5-9	Kinbozan	1.18
4	Tokihayate	4-10	0.47	1784	→	1806	0.53	4-10	Nishikifuji	0.91
5	Wakanosho	8-6	0.49	1801	←	1811	0.51	5-9	Asahakuryu	1.04
6	Hakunofuji	10-4	0.63	1930	←	1841	0.37	7-7	Fujiseiun	0.68
7	Roga	8-6	0.35	1821	←	1931	0.65	8-6	Gonoyama	1.53
8	Daieisho	6-8	0.69	1960	←	1824	0.31	8-6	Mitakeumi	0.54
9	Abi	5-9	0.37	1868	→	1963	0.63	8-6	Oho	0.66
10	Hiradoumi	6-8	0.69	1934	←	1791	0.31	2-12	Tamawashi	0.53
11	Shodai	6-8	0.44	1865	→	1907	0.56	5-9	Ichiyamamoto	0.84
12	Yoshinofuji	10-4	0.68	1995	←	1862	0.32	10-4	Kotoeiho	0.55
13	Chiyoshoma	5-9	0.37	1834	→	1930	0.63	6-8	Takanosho	0.66
14	Fujinokawa	6-8	0.53	1924	←	1904	0.47	5-9	Wakamotoharu	0.92
15	Wakatakakage	11-3	0.81	2060	←	1802	0.19	10-4	Fujiryoga	0.30
16	Churanoumi	9-5	0.42	1897	→	1951	0.58	8-6	Kotoshoho	0.79
17	Atamifuji	8-6	0.68	1989	←	1854	0.32	8-6	Oshoma	0.55
18	Kirishima	11-3	0.78	2124	←	1899	0.22	10-4	Ura	0.35

Match Recap - Day 14

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Daiseizan	7-6	0.45	1758	←	1790	0.55	4-9	Tokihayate	1.14
2	Wakanosho	7-6	0.47	1797	←	1821	0.53	5-8	Kinbozan	1.10
3	Abi	5-8	0.61	1866	→	1785	0.39	4-9	Shishi	1.37
4	Tamawashi	2-11	0.48	1798	→	1814	0.52	3-10	Nishikifuji	0.94
5	Oshoma	7-6	0.55	1847	←	1814	0.45	8-5	Roga	0.87
6	Ryuden	5-8	0.45	1779	→	1816	0.55	4-9	Asahakuryu	0.86
7	Chiyoshoma	5-8	0.51	1836	→	1826	0.49	7-6	Mitakeumi	1.04
8	Wakamotoharu	4-9	0.69	1901	←	1760	0.31	4-9	Oshoumi	0.53
9	Churanoumi	8-5	0.45	1901	←	1938	0.55	8-5	Gonoyama	1.16
10	Hiradoumi	6-7	0.63	1928	→	1836	0.37	6-7	Fujiseiun	1.43
11	Tobizaru	9-4	0.36	1859	→	1957	0.64	7-6	Oho	0.65
12	Yoshinofuji	10-3	0.75	1990	→	1797	0.25	9-4	Fujiryoga	2.02
13	Daieisho	5-8	0.58	1967	←	1912	0.42	5-8	Ichiyamamoto	0.79
14	Fujinokawa	6-7	0.54	1929	→	1901	0.46	9-4	Ura	1.12
15	Shodai	6-7	0.40	1867	→	1935	0.60	5-8	Takanosho	0.74
16	Wakatakakage	10-3	0.75	2056	←	1861	0.25	10-3	Kotoeiho	0.41
17	Atamifuji	7-6	0.55	1986	←	1948	0.45	8-5	Kotoshoho	0.85
18	Kirishima	11-2	0.75	2121	→	1926	0.25	9-4	Hakunofuji	2.03

Match Recap - Day 13

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Asasuiryu	8-4	0.46	1747	←	1773	0.54	5-7	Ryuden	1.11
2	Oshoumi	3-9	0.44	1762	←	1802	0.56	2-10	Tamawashi	1.18
3	Roga	7-5	0.52	1808	←	1794	0.48	4-8	Tokihayate	0.94
4	Wakanosho	6-6	0.47	1802	←	1821	0.53	3-9	Nishikifuji	1.08
5	Abi	4-8	0.58	1873	←	1820	0.42	7-5	Mitakeumi	0.80
6	Shishi	3-9	0.47	1792	←	1814	0.53	4-8	Asahakuryu	1.09
7	Churanoumi	8-4	0.63	1892	→	1801	0.37	8-4	Fujiryoga	1.43
8	Wakamotoharu	3-9	0.61	1905	←	1828	0.39	5-7	Kinbozan	0.72
9	Hakunofuji	8-4	0.48	1929	←	1942	0.52	8-4	Gonoyama	1.05
10	Hiradoumi	5-7	0.43	1925	←	1971	0.57	5-7	Daieisho	1.20
11	Oho	6-6	0.55	1950	←	1915	0.45	5-7	Ichiyamamoto	0.86
12	Yoshinofuji	9-3	0.63	1985	←	1896	0.37	9-3	Ura	0.68
13	Oshoma	6-6	0.38	1845	←	1933	0.62	5-7	Takanosho	1.41
14	Fujinokawa	6-6	0.62	1925	→	1841	0.38	5-7	Fujiseiun	1.39
15	Wakatakakage	9-3	0.75	2054	←	1860	0.25	9-3	Tobizaru	0.41
16	Shodai	6-6	0.37	1858	→	1950	0.63	7-5	Kotoshoho	0.67
17	Atamifuji	6-6	0.71	1985	←	1833	0.29	5-7	Chiyoshoma	0.50
18	Kirishima	10-2	0.82	2118	←	1853	0.18	10-2	Kotoeiho	0.28

Match Recap - Day 12

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Kyokukaiyu	6-5	0.44	1757	←	1795	0.56	2-9	Tamawashi	1.17
2	Shishi	3-8	0.48	1799	→	1815	0.52	6-5	Mitakeumi	0.93
3	Ryuden	4-7	0.47	1768	←	1790	0.53	4-7	Tokihayate	1.10
4	Ura	8-3	0.62	1890	←	1802	0.38	8-3	Fujiryoga	0.68
5	Asanoyama	7-4	0.66	1962	→	1846	0.34	9-2	Kotoeiho	1.56
6	Roga	6-5	0.46	1804	←	1828	0.54	3-8	Nishikifuji	1.11
7	Oshoma	5-6	0.57	1852	←	1804	0.43	6-5	Wakanosho	0.82
8	Oshoumi	3-8	0.41	1755	→	1821	0.59	3-8	Asahakuryu	0.75
9	Chiyoshoma	4-7	0.50	1838	←	1835	0.50	5-6	Kinbozan	0.99
10	Abi	4-7	0.55	1881	→	1848	0.45	5-6	Shodai	1.14
11	Hakunofuji	8-3	0.47	1924	→	1944	0.53	5-6	Oho	0.92
12	Yoshinofuji	8-3	0.68	1979	←	1852	0.32	9-2	Tobizaru	0.57
13	Hiradoumi	4-7	0.53	1931	←	1911	0.47	5-6	Ichiyamamoto	0.92
14	Fujinokawa	5-6	0.45	1928	←	1965	0.55	5-6	Daieisho	1.16
15	Wakamotoharu	3-8	0.45	1902	→	1938	0.55	4-7	Takanosho	0.86
16	Wakatakakage	8-3	0.66	2057	←	1945	0.34	8-3	Gonoyama	0.61
17	Atamifuji	5-6	0.70	1992	←	1846	0.30	5-6	Fujiseiun	0.52
18	Kotozakura	3-8	0.66	2005	→	1887	0.34	7-4	Churanoumi	1.57
19	Kirishima	9-2	0.73	2116	←	1947	0.27	7-4	Kotoshoho	0.46

Match Recap - Day 11

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Mitakeumi	5-5	0.62	1811	←	1729	0.38	3-7	Hatsuyama	0.70
2	Shishi	3-7	0.57	1803	→	1751	0.43	2-8	Oshoumi	1.23
3	Tamawashi	1-9	0.43	1792	←	1840	0.57	5-5	Kinbozan	1.21
4	Ura	7-3	0.62	1885	←	1798	0.38	6-4	Wakanosho	0.68
5	Fujiryoga	8-2	0.33	1795	→	1919	0.67	7-3	Hakunofuji	0.57
6	Asanoyama	7-3	0.65	1957	→	1847	0.35	8-2	Tobizaru	1.53
7	Ryuden	3-7	0.41	1773	←	1833	0.59	3-7	Nishikifuji	1.27
8	Abi	4-6	0.61	1888	→	1811	0.39	5-5	Roga	1.36
9	Tokihayate	3-7	0.45	1796	←	1828	0.55	3-7	Asahakuryu	1.14
10	Oshoma	5-5	0.52	1858	→	1841	0.48	8-2	Kotoeiho	1.07
11	Wakamotoharu	2-8	0.59	1907	←	1844	0.41	4-6	Chiyoshoma	0.76
12	Gonoyama	8-2	0.54	1938	→	1913	0.46	4-6	Ichiyamamoto	1.11
13	Yoshinofuji	7-3	0.55	1973	←	1937	0.45	4-6	Hiradoumi	0.86
14	Daieisho	4-6	0.53	1962	←	1943	0.47	4-6	Takanosho	0.92
15	Fujinokawa	5-5	0.48	1925	→	1941	0.52	4-6	Oho	0.94
16	Fujiseiun	5-5	0.36	1852	→	1950	0.64	6-4	Kotoshoho	0.65
17	Atamifuji	5-5	0.65	1994	→	1890	0.35	6-4	Churanoumi	1.50
18	Kirishima	8-2	0.60	2124	←	2055	0.40	8-2	Wakatakakage	0.74
19	Kotozakura	3-7	0.72	2004	→	1839	0.28	4-6	Shodai	1.84

Match Recap - Day 10

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Dewanoryu	2-7	0.38	1730	←	1814	0.62	5-4	Roga	1.39
2	Kotoeiho	7-2	0.59	1837	←	1775	0.41	3-6	Ryuden	0.76
3	Shishi	3-6	0.51	1800	→	1795	0.49	5-4	Wakanosho	1.02
4	Fujiryoga	7-2	0.49	1788	←	1798	0.51	3-6	Tokihayate	1.04
5	Mitakeumi	4-5	0.47	1815	←	1837	0.53	5-4	Kinbozan	1.10
6	Abi	4-5	0.56	1892	→	1850	0.44	7-2	Tobizaru	1.18
7	Oshoumi	1-8	0.40	1757	←	1826	0.60	3-6	Nishikifuji	1.32
8	Oshoma	5-4	0.47	1863	→	1882	0.53	6-3	Ura	0.92
9	Tamawashi	0-9	0.45	1799	←	1832	0.55	3-6	Asahakuryu	1.14
10	Chiyoshoma	4-5	0.40	1848	→	1916	0.60	6-3	Hakunofuji	0.74
11	Asanoyama	6-3	0.63	1953	←	1858	0.37	5-4	Fujiseiun	0.66
12	Daieisho	3-6	0.61	1966	←	1886	0.39	6-3	Churanoumi	0.71
13	Yoshinofuji	6-3	0.59	1966	←	1906	0.41	4-5	Ichiyamamoto	0.77
14	Fujinokawa	4-5	0.49	1931	←	1941	0.51	4-5	Hiradoumi	1.04
15	Oho	3-6	0.51	1946	←	1940	0.49	4-5	Takanosho	0.97
16	Atamifuji	5-4	0.40	1989	→	2060	0.60	7-2	Wakatakakage	0.73
17	Gonoyama	7-2	0.48	1929	←	1941	0.52	6-3	Kotoshoho	1.05
18	Kotozakura	2-7	0.64	2013	←	1911	0.36	2-7	Wakamotoharu	0.64
19	Kirishima	8-1	0.84	2124	→	1835	0.16	3-6	Shodai	2.65

Match Recap - Day 9

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Takerufuji	5-3	0.58	1816	←	1763	0.42	1-7	Oshoumi	0.80
2	Wakanosho	4-4	0.49	1803	←	1808	0.51	5-3	Roga	1.02
3	Mitakeumi	4-4	0.54	1809	→	1783	0.46	6-2	Fujiryoga	1.11
4	Kotoeiho	6-2	0.50	1842	←	1842	0.50	7-1	Tobizaru	1.00
5	Shishi	2-6	0.50	1806	←	1807	0.50	0-8	Tamawashi	1.00
6	Ryuden	3-5	0.40	1767	→	1841	0.60	4-4	Kinbozan	0.73
7	Ura	5-3	0.63	1886	←	1791	0.37	3-5	Tokihayate	0.66
8	Abi	4-4	0.45	1889	→	1922	0.55	5-3	Hakunofuji	0.87
9	Chiyoshoma	4-4	0.36	1852	→	1951	0.64	5-3	Asanoyama	0.65
10	Nishikifuji	2-6	0.45	1824	←	1861	0.55	5-3	Fujiseiun	1.17
11	Churanoumi	5-3	0.53	1888	←	1865	0.47	5-3	Oshoma	0.91
12	Asahakuryu	3-5	0.48	1828	→	1839	0.52	2-6	Shodai	0.95
13	Yoshinofuji	5-3	0.52	1959	←	1948	0.48	3-5	Oho	0.95
14	Hiradoumi	4-4	0.49	1938	→	1947	0.51	3-5	Takanosho	0.96
15	Fujinokawa	4-4	0.55	1935	→	1902	0.45	3-5	Ichiyamamoto	1.15
16	Wakatakakage	7-1	0.67	2056	→	1934	0.33	5-3	Kotoshoho	1.59
17	Atamifuji	4-4	0.53	1985	←	1961	0.47	3-5	Daieisho	0.91
18	Kirishima	7-1	0.77	2131	←	1917	0.23	2-6	Wakamotoharu	0.37
19	Kotozakura	2-6	0.64	2021	→	1922	0.36	6-2	Gonoyama	1.47

Match Recap - Day 8

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Wakanosho	4-3	0.61	1808	→	1732	0.39	3-4	Sadanoumi	1.35
2	Kotoeiho	6-1	0.57	1838	→	1785	0.43	5-2	Fujiryoga	1.23
3	Ryuden	2-5	0.42	1760	←	1813	0.58	0-7	Tamawashi	1.24
4	Oshoumi	1-6	0.48	1769	→	1785	0.52	2-5	Tokihayate	0.93
5	Ura	5-2	0.56	1880	→	1836	0.44	6-1	Tobizaru	1.20
6	Roga	4-3	0.46	1805	←	1836	0.54	4-3	Kinbozan	1.13
7	Mitakeumi	3-4	0.36	1813	←	1917	0.64	5-2	Hakunofuji	1.49
8	Shishi	2-5	0.47	1811	→	1830	0.53	1-6	Nishikifuji	0.92
9	Oshoma	5-2	0.36	1858	→	1957	0.64	4-3	Asanoyama	0.65
10	Chiyoshoma	4-3	0.52	1845	→	1835	0.48	2-5	Asahakuryu	1.04
11	Abi	3-4	0.55	1896	←	1858	0.45	5-2	Fujiseiun	0.85
12	Hiradoumi	3-4	0.59	1942	←	1882	0.41	5-2	Churanoumi	0.77
13	Fujinokawa	4-3	0.47	1931	→	1953	0.53	4-3	Yoshinofuji	0.91
14	Ichiyamamoto	2-5	0.43	1906	←	1954	0.57	3-4	Takanosho	1.21
15	Wakatakakage	6-1	0.65	2052	←	1943	0.35	3-4	Oho	0.62
16	Atamifuji	3-4	0.69	1982	←	1843	0.31	2-5	Shodai	0.54
17	Wakamotoharu	2-5	0.49	1920	→	1927	0.51	4-3	Kotoshoho	0.97
18	Kotozakura	2-5	0.59	2030	→	1967	0.41	2-5	Daieisho	1.29
19	Kirishima	7-0	0.76	2127	→	1924	0.24	5-2	Gonoyama	2.07

Match Recap - Day 7

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Fujiryoga	5-1	0.45	1778	→	1812	0.55	3-3	Roga	0.86
2	Mitakeumi	3-3	0.57	1808	→	1756	0.43	1-5	Ryuden	1.23
3	Kotoeiho	5-1	0.54	1840	←	1811	0.46	4-2	Wakanosho	0.88
4	Shishi	2-4	0.47	1812	→	1831	0.53	5-1	Tobizaru	0.93
5	Oshoumi	1-5	0.42	1776	→	1832	0.58	3-3	Kinbozan	0.78
6	Ura	4-2	0.58	1874	←	1821	0.42	0-6	Tamawashi	0.80
7	Asanoyama	4-2	0.72	1954	→	1790	0.28	1-5	Tokihayate	1.84
8	Hakunofuji	4-2	0.60	1915	←	1846	0.40	3-3	Asakoryu	0.74
9	Chiyoshoma	3-3	0.50	1840	←	1837	0.50	1-5	Nishikifuji	0.99
10	Asahakuryu	2-4	0.47	1841	→	1860	0.53	4-2	Fujiseiun	0.92
11	Churanoumi	4-2	0.47	1879	←	1900	0.53	3-3	Abi	1.09
12	Oshoma	4-2	0.52	1851	←	1840	0.48	2-4	Shodai	0.96
13	Yoshinofuji	3-3	0.54	1947	←	1917	0.46	5-1	Gonoyama	0.88
14	Fujinokawa	3-3	0.47	1935	←	1956	0.53	3-3	Takanosho	1.09
15	Wakatakakage	5-1	0.69	2050	←	1909	0.31	2-4	Ichiyamamoto	0.53
16	Hiradoumi	3-3	0.52	1936	→	1920	0.48	3-3	Kotoshoho	1.07
17	Atamifuji	2-4	0.60	1987	←	1918	0.40	2-4	Wakamotoharu	0.74
18	Kirishima	6-0	0.70	2123	←	1975	0.30	2-4	Daieisho	0.51
19	Kotozakura	2-4	0.63	2038	→	1947	0.37	2-4	Oho	1.43

Match Recap - Day 6

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Tobizaru	4-1	0.53	1828	←	1804	0.47	4-1	Wakanosho	0.90
2	Mitakeumi	2-3	0.53	1805	←	1783	0.47	1-4	Oshoumi	0.91
3	Ryuden	0-5	0.42	1762	←	1815	0.58	3-2	Roga	1.23
4	Fujiryoga	4-1	0.42	1771	←	1829	0.58	0-5	Tamawashi	1.26
5	Ura	3-2	0.55	1869	←	1833	0.45	5-0	Kotoeiho	0.86
6	Asanoyama	3-2	0.70	1952	←	1807	0.30	2-3	Shishi	0.52
7	Tokihayate	1-4	0.33	1794	→	1920	0.67	3-2	Hakunofuji	0.57
8	Kinbozan	2-3	0.49	1837	←	1844	0.51	1-4	Nishikifuji	1.03
9	Chiyoshoma	2-3	0.43	1844	←	1895	0.57	3-2	Abi	1.23
10	Churanoumi	3-2	0.55	1883	←	1846	0.45	2-3	Asahakuryu	0.85
11	Oshoma	3-2	0.49	1844	←	1852	0.51	4-1	Fujiseiun	1.04
12	Asakoryu	3-2	0.50	1842	→	1846	0.50	1-4	Shodai	0.99
13	Wakamotoharu	1-4	0.53	1925	←	1903	0.47	2-3	Ichiyamamoto	0.91
14	Yoshinofuji	2-3	0.49	1942	←	1948	0.51	3-2	Takanosho	1.02
15	Wakatakakage	4-1	0.66	2055	←	1938	0.34	3-2	Fujinokawa	0.60
16	Atamifuji	2-3	0.61	1985	→	1910	0.39	4-1	Gonoyama	1.34
17	Daieisho	2-3	0.59	1982	→	1915	0.41	2-3	Kotoshoho	1.30
18	Kotozakura	2-3	0.64	2044	→	1940	0.36	2-3	Hiradoumi	1.49
19	Kirishima	5-0	0.72	2119	←	1951	0.28	2-3	Oho	0.46

Match Recap - Day 5

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Fujiryoga	3-1	0.47	1765	←	1788	0.53	1-3	Oshoumi	1.10
2	Tobizaru	3-1	0.59	1832	←	1769	0.41	0-4	Ryuden	0.76
3	Wakanosho	3-1	0.44	1797	←	1837	0.56	0-4	Tamawashi	1.17
4	Kotoeiho	4-0	0.53	1826	←	1808	0.47	3-1	Roga	0.93
5	Mitakeumi	1-3	0.53	1812	←	1790	0.47	1-3	Tokihayate	0.91
6	Shishi	1-3	0.35	1810	←	1914	0.65	3-1	Hakunofuji	1.50
7	Asanoyama	2-2	0.66	1957	←	1843	0.34	2-2	Kinbozan	0.60
8	Abi	2-2	0.56	1891	←	1850	0.44	1-3	Nishikifuji	0.84
9	Ura	2-2	0.53	1866	←	1848	0.47	2-2	Asahakuryu	0.93
10	Chiyoshoma	2-2	0.50	1837	→	1837	0.50	2-2	Oshoma	1.00
11	Churanoumi	3-1	0.54	1878	→	1848	0.46	2-2	Asakoryu	1.13
12	Wakamotoharu	1-3	0.62	1931	→	1846	0.38	3-1	Fujiseiun	1.39
13	Shodai	1-3	0.43	1852	→	1903	0.57	3-1	Gonoyama	0.80
14	Yoshinofuji	1-3	0.44	1947	←	1987	0.56	2-2	Daieisho	1.18
15	Wakatakakage	4-0	0.65	2049	→	1943	0.35	2-2	Takanosho	1.50
16	Oho	2-2	0.54	1946	→	1919	0.46	1-3	Kotoshoho	1.12
17	Atamifuji	1-3	0.58	1990	←	1933	0.42	3-1	Fujinokawa	0.78
18	Kirishima	4-0	0.73	2116	←	1943	0.27	2-2	Hiradoumi	0.45
19	Kotozakura	2-2	0.68	2039	→	1907	0.32	1-3	Ichiyamamoto	1.65

Match Recap - Day 4

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Daiseizan	3-0	0.47	1757	←	1776	0.53	0-3	Ryuden	1.08
2	Tobizaru	3-0	0.58	1825	→	1767	0.42	2-1	Fujiryoga	1.26
3	Mitakeumi	1-2	0.54	1819	→	1794	0.46	2-1	Wakanosho	1.11
4	Oshoumi	1-2	0.49	1792	→	1802	0.51	2-1	Roga	0.96
5	Tamawashi	0-3	0.57	1844	→	1797	0.43	0-3	Tokihayate	1.21
6	Ura	1-2	0.59	1871	←	1808	0.41	1-2	Shishi	0.76
7	Kotoeiho	3-0	0.46	1819	←	1845	0.54	2-1	Kinbozan	1.12
8	Abi	1-2	0.42	1898	←	1955	0.58	2-1	Asanoyama	1.25
9	Oshoma	1-2	0.47	1833	←	1853	0.53	1-2	Nishikifuji	1.09
10	Hakunofuji	2-1	0.60	1909	←	1842	0.40	2-1	Asahakuryu	0.75
11	Asakoryu	2-1	0.51	1851	→	1841	0.49	2-1	Fujiseiun	1.04
12	Wakamotoharu	1-2	0.57	1929	→	1882	0.43	2-1	Churanoumi	1.20
13	Chiyoshoma	1-2	0.47	1834	←	1855	0.53	1-2	Shodai	1.09
14	Hiradoumi	2-1	0.56	1936	→	1897	0.44	2-1	Gonoyama	1.17
15	Wakatakakage	3-0	0.57	2044	←	1992	0.43	2-1	Daieisho	0.80
16	Oho	1-2	0.42	1950	←	2004	0.58	2-1	Takayasu	1.24
17	Atamifuji	1-2	0.56	1988	→	1946	0.44	1-2	Takanosho	1.18
18	Fujinokawa	2-1	0.52	1933	←	1916	0.48	1-2	Kotoshoho	0.93
19	Kotozakura	1-2	0.62	2038	←	1951	0.38	1-2	Yoshinofuji	0.69
20	Kirishima	3-0	0.76	2112	←	1912	0.24	1-2	Ichiyamamoto	0.40

Match Recap - Day 3

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Fujiryoga	2-0	0.39	1760	→	1836	0.61	1-1	Onokatsu	0.72
2	Wakanosho	1-1	0.52	1798	←	1782	0.48	0-2	Ryuden	0.93
3	Tobizaru	2-0	0.55	1819	←	1788	0.45	1-1	Oshoumi	0.87
4	Mitakeumi	1-1	0.54	1822	→	1798	0.46	1-1	Roga	1.11
5	Kotoeiho	2-0	0.44	1812	←	1851	0.56	0-2	Tamawashi	1.17
6	Shishi	0-2	0.52	1815	←	1804	0.48	0-2	Tokihayate	0.95
7	Kinbozan	2-0	0.41	1839	→	1904	0.59	1-1	Hakunofuji	0.75
8	Asanoyama	1-1	0.62	1960	←	1876	0.38	1-1	Ura	0.69
9	Nishikifuji	1-1	0.51	1848	→	1838	0.49	1-1	Asahakuryu	1.04
10	Oshoma	0-2	0.41	1839	←	1903	0.59	1-1	Abi	1.29
11	Chiyoshoma	0-2	0.49	1839	←	1844	0.51	2-0	Asakoryu	1.02
12	Churanoumi	2-0	0.55	1877	→	1844	0.45	1-1	Fujiseiun	1.14
13	Wakamotoharu	0-2	0.62	1935	←	1851	0.38	1-1	Shodai	0.69
14	Daieisho	2-0	0.62	1987	→	1900	0.38	1-1	Gonoyama	1.41
15	Hiradoumi	1-1	0.40	1931	←	1998	0.60	2-0	Takayasu	1.30
16	Wakatakakage	2-0	0.62	2038	←	1953	0.38	1-1	Yoshinofuji	0.69
17	Ichiyamamoto	1-1	0.49	1914	→	1922	0.51	0-2	Kotoshoho	0.97
18	Atamifuji	0-2	0.57	1996	←	1948	0.43	1-1	Oho	0.81
19	Kirishima	2-0	0.75	2109	←	1922	0.25	2-0	Fujinokawa	0.42
20	Kotozakura	0-2	0.64	2044	←	1943	0.36	1-1	Takanosho	0.64

Match Recap - Day 2

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Wakanosho	1-0	0.56	1795	→	1753	0.44	1-0	Fujiryoga	1.18
2	Ryuden	0-1	0.49	1785	→	1791	0.51	0-1	Oshoumi	0.98
3	Mitakeumi	1-0	0.50	1817	→	1815	0.50	1-0	Tobizaru	1.01
4	Roga	0-1	0.43	1804	←	1856	0.57	0-1	Tamawashi	1.23
5	Shishi	0-1	0.52	1822	→	1808	0.48	1-0	Kotoeiho	1.06
6	Tokihayate	0-1	0.47	1811	→	1833	0.53	1-0	Kinbozan	0.91
7	Asanoyama	1-0	0.57	1959	→	1908	0.43	0-1	Hakunofuji	1.23
8	Ura	1-0	0.53	1873	→	1849	0.47	0-1	Nishikifuji	1.10
9	Oshoma	0-1	0.50	1842	→	1843	0.50	0-1	Asahakuryu	0.99
10	Abi	1-0	0.59	1900	→	1840	0.41	1-0	Asakoryu	1.27
11	Churanoumi	1-0	0.55	1874	←	1842	0.45	0-1	Chiyoshoma	0.87
12	Fujiseiun	1-0	0.48	1838	→	1854	0.52	0-1	Shodai	0.94
13	Daieisho	1-0	0.56	1984	←	1942	0.44	0-1	Wakamotoharu	0.84
14	Gonoyama	1-0	0.41	1893	→	1953	0.59	0-1	Oho	0.77
15	Ichiyamamoto	1-0	0.38	1905	→	1990	0.62	1-0	Takayasu	0.69
16	Atamifuji	0-1	0.60	2003	→	1934	0.40	0-1	Hiradoumi	1.32
17	Takanosho	0-1	0.53	1948	←	1926	0.47	0-1	Kotoshoho	0.91
18	Kotozakura	0-1	0.52	2049	→	2036	0.48	1-0	Wakatakakage	1.05
19	Kirishima	1-0	0.72	2109	←	1947	0.28	1-0	Yoshinofuji	0.48
20	Hoshoryu	0-1	0.80	2149	→	1913	0.20	1-0	Fujinokawa	2.29

Match Recap - Day 1

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Fujiryoga	0-0	0.46	1749	←	1780	0.54	0-0	Ryuden	1.13
2	Wakanosho	0-0	0.52	1799	←	1784	0.48	0-0	Oshoumi	0.94
3	Tobizaru	0-0	0.52	1819	←	1808	0.48	0-0	Roga	0.95
4	Mitakeumi	0-0	0.45	1819	←	1853	0.55	0-0	Tamawashi	1.15
5	Kotoeiho	0-0	0.49	1810	←	1819	0.51	0-0	Tokihayate	1.04
6	Shishi	0-0	0.50	1829	→	1829	0.50	0-0	Kinbozan	1.00
7	Ura	0-0	0.47	1881	←	1904	0.53	0-0	Hakunofuji	1.10
8	Asanoyama	0-0	0.67	1967	←	1841	0.33	0-0	Nishikifuji	0.57
9	Abi	0-0	0.58	1905	←	1845	0.42	0-0	Asahakuryu	0.77
10	Oshoma	0-0	0.49	1834	→	1843	0.51	0-0	Asakoryu	0.97
11	Chiyoshoma	0-0	0.50	1834	→	1834	0.50	0-0	Fujiseiun	1.00
12	Churanoumi	0-0	0.54	1879	←	1849	0.46	0-0	Shodai	0.88
13	Wakamotoharu	0-0	0.58	1948	→	1889	0.42	0-0	Gonoyama	1.27
14	Daieisho	0-0	0.54	1988	←	1958	0.46	0-0	Oho	0.88
15	Wakatakakage	0-0	0.65	2040	←	1931	0.35	0-0	Hiradoumi	0.62
16	Yoshinofuji	0-0	0.53	1942	←	1923	0.47	0-0	Kotoshoho	0.92
17	Atamifuji	0-0	0.65	2007	→	1899	0.35	0-0	Ichiyamamoto	1.52
18	Kirishima	0-0	0.72	2116	←	1955	0.28	0-0	Takanosho	0.48
19	Kotozakura	0-0	0.68	2041	→	1906	0.32	0-0	Fujinokawa	1.67
20	Hoshoryu	0-0	0.71	2147	→	1987	0.29	0-0	Takayasu	1.81