🎌 Elo on the Dohyō 🎌

Welcome to the rikishi Elo scoreboard! This page gives you a quick way to see who’s looking strongest in the current basho.

Sumo Strength by the Numbers

Each wrestler has an Elo rating, which goes up when they win and down when they lose, so the numbers shift day by day as the action unfolds.

Match odds are based on the gap between two wrestlers’ scores — a big difference means there’s a clear favorite, while a closer spread means we could be in for a real battle.

If you’d like to dive into the math behind it all, check out the Elo model details

Elo Trends for 2025 Kyushu Basho in Fukuoka

Each point represents a rikishi’s current Elo rating. The rikishi are organized by banzuke ranking, and color coded by rank name. The tail above or below the point shows the change in elo over the course of the current tournament. Mouse over points to see the rikishi name.

Today’s Rikishi Power Meter

Head-to-Head Odds - Day 5

Match	East						Elo Gap	West
		Name	Record	Elo	Win Prob	Odds		Odds	Win Prob	Elo	Record	Name
1		Asakoryu	3-1	1788	0.53	1.12	20 ←	0.89	0.47	1768	1-3	Sadanoumi
2		Daiseizan	3-1	1742	0.46	0.84	31 →	1.19	0.54	1772	2-2	Shonannoumi
3		Ryuden	3-1	1792	0.50	0.99	1 →	1.01	0.50	1794	2-2	Chiyoshoma
4		Oshoumi	1-3	1744	0.42	0.73	54 →	1.37	0.58	1798	1-3	Mitakeumi
5		Gonoyama	2-2	1854	0.56	1.25	39 ←	0.80	0.44	1814	3-1	Nishikifuji
6		Tokihayate	3-1	1804	0.55	1.23	36 ←	0.81	0.45	1768	0-4	Tomokaze
7		Shishi	1-3	1822	0.49	0.96	6 →	1.04	0.51	1828	2-2	Roga
8		Fujinokawa	4-0	1834	0.45	0.83	33 →	1.21	0.55	1867	3-1	Kotoshoho
9		Daieisho	2-2	1993	0.69	2.18	135 ←	0.46	0.31	1858	1-3	Kinbozan
10		Ichiyamamoto	2-2	1855	0.50	0.99	1 →	1.01	0.50	1856	2-2	Tobizaru
11		Churanoumi	3-1	1866	0.54	1.18	28 ←	0.85	0.46	1838	1-3	Midorifuji
12		Abi	2-2	1934	0.58	1.41	59 ←	0.71	0.42	1875	1-3	Onokatsu
13		Yoshinofuji	3-1	1884	0.50	0.99	2 →	1.01	0.50	1885	1-3	Shodai
14		Atamifuji	3-1	1906	0.53	1.12	19 ←	0.89	0.47	1887	2-2	Oshoma
15		Kirishima	1-3	2001	0.58	1.37	54 ←	0.73	0.42	1947	3-1	Tamawashi
16		Takanosho	0-4	1942	0.50	1.00	1 ←	1.00	0.50	1941	1-3	Hakuoho
17		Takayasu	3-1	2015	0.50	1.01	2 ←	0.99	0.50	2013	2-2	Oho
18		Aonishiki	4-0	2030	0.52	1.09	15 ←	0.92	0.48	2014	0-4	Wakatakakage
19		Kotozakura	2-2	2033	0.66	1.92	113 ←	0.52	0.34	1920	2-2	Ura
20		Hiradoumi	2-2	1962	0.27	0.38	169 →	2.64	0.73	2131	3-1	Hoshoryu
21		Onosato	4-0	2186	0.76	3.23	203 ←	0.31	0.24	1983	1-3	Wakamotoharu

Day-by-day Review for 2025 Kyushu Basho in Fukuoka

Match Recap - Day 4

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Oshoumi	1-2	0.46	1749	→	1775	0.54	1-2	Asahakuryu	0.90
2	Nishikifuji	2-1	0.52	1809	←	1797	0.48	2-1	Chiyoshoma	0.95
3	Asakoryu	3-0	0.52	1781	→	1769	0.48	1-2	Shonannoumi	1.05
4	Sadanoumi	1-2	0.45	1772	→	1808	0.55	2-1	Tokihayate	0.86
5	Gonoyama	1-2	0.59	1861	←	1795	0.41	1-2	Mitakeumi	0.75
6	Ryuden	2-1	0.52	1787	←	1774	0.48	0-3	Tomokaze	0.95
7	Shishi	1-2	0.50	1825	→	1825	0.50	3-0	Fujinokawa	1.00
8	Roga	2-1	0.44	1822	→	1861	0.56	2-1	Kotoshoho	0.85
9	Midorifuji	1-2	0.27	1833	→	2002	0.73	1-2	Daieisho	0.46
10	Tobizaru	1-2	0.50	1863	←	1864	0.50	1-2	Kinbozan	1.01
11	Churanoumi	2-1	0.53	1868	←	1849	0.47	2-1	Ichiyamamoto	0.92
12	Atamifuji	2-1	0.45	1903	←	1940	0.55	2-1	Abi	1.16
13	Yoshinofuji	2-1	0.50	1879	←	1878	0.50	1-2	Onokatsu	1.00
14	Shodai	1-2	0.49	1882	→	1890	0.51	1-2	Oshoma	0.97
15	Hiradoumi	2-1	0.52	1957	→	1942	0.48	2-1	Tamawashi	1.06
16	Wakamotoharu	1-2	0.46	1980	→	2009	0.54	2-1	Takayasu	0.89
17	Aonishiki	3-0	0.61	2024	←	1948	0.39	0-3	Takanosho	0.72
18	Ura	1-2	0.37	1927	←	2017	0.63	2-1	Oho	1.42
19	Kotozakura	1-2	0.63	2040	←	1945	0.37	1-2	Hakuoho	0.66
20	Onosato	3-0	0.74	2183	←	2004	0.26	1-2	Kirishima	0.44
21	Wakatakakage	0-3	0.35	2019	→	2128	0.65	2-1	Hoshoryu	0.62

Match Recap - Day 3

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Chiyoshoma	2-0	0.52	1791	→	1775	0.48	2-0	Asakoryu	1.07
2	Kotoeiho	1-1	0.48	1758	←	1769	0.52	1-1	Sadanoumi	1.05
3	Nishikifuji	1-1	0.58	1806	←	1753	0.42	1-1	Oshoumi	0.80
4	Shonannoumi	0-2	0.46	1776	←	1801	0.54	2-0	Tokihayate	1.11
5	Gonoyama	1-1	0.61	1866	→	1791	0.39	1-1	Ryuden	1.34
6	Mitakeumi	0-2	0.53	1802	←	1780	0.47	0-2	Tomokaze	0.91
7	Shishi	1-1	0.45	1820	→	1856	0.55	1-1	Kotoshoho	0.86
8	Daieisho	1-1	0.75	2009	→	1818	0.25	2-0	Fujinokawa	2.00
9	Roga	1-1	0.43	1819	←	1867	0.57	1-1	Tobizaru	1.21
10	Ichiyamamoto	1-1	0.47	1845	←	1867	0.53	1-1	Kinbozan	1.09
11	Midorifuji	0-2	0.37	1839	←	1935	0.63	2-0	Abi	1.45
12	Atamifuji	1-1	0.55	1907	←	1874	0.45	1-1	Onokatsu	0.87
13	Churanoumi	2-0	0.46	1861	→	1889	0.54	0-2	Shodai	0.89
14	Tamawashi	1-1	0.58	1939	←	1886	0.42	1-1	Oshoma	0.80
15	Yoshinofuji	1-1	0.43	1881	←	1932	0.57	1-1	Ura	1.23
16	Takanosho	0-2	0.45	1951	→	1985	0.55	0-2	Wakamotoharu	0.86
17	Hiradoumi	1-1	0.43	1960	←	2010	0.57	2-0	Oho	1.22
18	Aonishiki	2-0	0.60	2018	←	1945	0.40	1-1	Hakuoho	0.73
19	Kotozakura	1-1	0.56	2045	→	2004	0.44	1-1	Takayasu	1.18
20	Kirishima	1-1	0.33	2000	→	2127	0.67	1-1	Hoshoryu	0.57
21	Onosato	2-0	0.71	2180	←	2027	0.29	0-2	Wakatakakage	0.50

Match Recap - Day 2

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Chiyoshoma	1-0	0.54	1785	←	1755	0.46	0-1	Fujiseiun	0.88
2	Oshoumi	1-0	0.47	1750	→	1772	0.53	1-0	Asakoryu	0.91
3	Sadanoumi	0-1	0.49	1774	←	1782	0.51	0-1	Shonannoumi	1.03
4	Ryuden	1-0	0.46	1788	→	1813	0.54	0-1	Nishikifuji	0.90
5	Tokihayate	1-0	0.48	1794	←	1806	0.52	0-1	Mitakeumi	1.05
6	Fujinokawa	1-0	0.43	1814	←	1864	0.57	1-0	Gonoyama	1.22
7	Tomokaze	0-1	0.44	1785	→	1823	0.56	0-1	Roga	0.85
8	Daieisho	1-0	0.70	2006	→	1863	0.30	0-1	Kotoshoho	1.71
9	Shishi	0-1	0.45	1823	←	1860	0.55	1-0	Tobizaru	1.16
10	Ichiyamamoto	0-1	0.51	1850	←	1843	0.49	0-1	Midorifuji	0.97
11	Kinbozan	1-0	0.40	1863	→	1934	0.60	1-0	Abi	0.74
12	Atamifuji	1-0	0.57	1901	→	1855	0.43	1-0	Churanoumi	1.20
13	Onokatsu	0-1	0.48	1877	←	1893	0.52	0-1	Shodai	1.07
14	Tamawashi	0-1	0.60	1944	←	1875	0.40	1-0	Yoshinofuji	0.74
15	Oshoma	0-1	0.45	1892	←	1928	0.55	1-0	Ura	1.16
16	Hiradoumi	1-0	0.43	1954	→	2005	0.57	0-1	Takayasu	0.80
17	Aonishiki	1-0	0.54	2015	←	1988	0.46	0-1	Wakamotoharu	0.89
18	Wakatakakage	0-1	0.54	2034	→	2004	0.46	1-0	Oho	1.13
19	Kotozakura	1-0	0.55	2040	→	2007	0.45	0-1	Kirishima	1.14
20	Onosato	1-0	0.80	2179	←	1936	0.20	1-0	Hakuoho	0.32
21	Takanosho	0-1	0.26	1954	→	2133	0.74	0-1	Hoshoryu	0.44

Match Recap - Day 1

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Hitoshi	0-0	0.45	1740	→	1777	0.55	0-0	Asakoryu	0.86
2	Chiyoshoma	0-0	0.51	1782	←	1777	0.49	0-0	Sadanoumi	0.98
3	Oshoumi	0-0	0.46	1758	←	1785	0.54	0-0	Shonannoumi	1.12
4	Nishikifuji	0-0	0.54	1817	→	1790	0.46	0-0	Tokihayate	1.11
5	Ryuden	0-0	0.49	1793	←	1803	0.51	0-0	Mitakeumi	1.04
6	Gonoyama	0-0	0.62	1869	←	1787	0.38	0-0	Tomokaze	0.70
7	Fujinokawa	0-0	0.50	1818	←	1821	0.50	0-0	Roga	1.01
8	Daieisho	0-0	0.74	2006	←	1824	0.26	0-0	Shishi	0.43
9	Kotoshoho	0-0	0.52	1868	→	1856	0.48	0-0	Tobizaru	1.05
10	Midorifuji	0-0	0.46	1840	→	1865	0.54	0-0	Kinbozan	0.90
11	Ichiyamamoto	0-0	0.38	1853	→	1941	0.62	0-0	Abi	0.68
12	Churanoumi	0-0	0.48	1853	←	1870	0.52	0-0	Onokatsu	1.07
13	Atamifuji	0-0	0.51	1898	←	1891	0.49	0-0	Shodai	0.97
14	Yoshinofuji	0-0	0.47	1872	←	1895	0.53	0-0	Oshoma	1.10
15	Tamawashi	0-0	0.52	1942	→	1931	0.48	0-0	Ura	1.05
16	Takanosho	0-0	0.49	1946	→	1951	0.51	0-0	Hiradoumi	0.98
17	Wakamotoharu	0-0	0.47	1982	→	1999	0.53	0-0	Oho	0.93
18	Aonishiki	0-0	0.51	2018	←	2014	0.49	0-0	Kirishima	0.98
19	Kotozakura	0-0	0.50	2042	←	2042	0.50	0-0	Wakatakakage	1.00
20	Hakuoho	0-0	0.25	1932	←	2126	0.75	0-0	Hoshoryu	2.02
21	Onosato	0-0	0.74	2183	←	1998	0.26	0-0	Takayasu	0.43