🎌 Elo on the Dohyō 🎌

Welcome to the rikishi Elo scoreboard! This page gives you a quick way to see who’s looking strongest in the current basho.

Sumo Strength by the Numbers

Each wrestler has an Elo rating, which goes up when they win and down when they lose, so the numbers shift day by day as the action unfolds.

Match odds are based on the gap between two wrestlers’ scores — a big difference means there’s a clear favorite, while a closer spread means we could be in for a real battle.

If you’d like to dive into the math behind it all, check out the Elo model details

Elo Trends for 2026 Aki Basho in Tokyo

Each point represents a rikishi’s current Elo rating. The rikishi are organized by banzuke ranking, and color coded by rank name. The tail above or below the point shows the change in elo over the course of the current tournament. Mouse over points to see the rikishi name.

Tournament Summary

Final Standings — 2026 Aki Basho in Tokyo

	Name	Rank	Record	Final Elo	Δ Elo	Actual vs Expected wins
	Shonannoumi	Maegashira	3-12	1734	−51	−3.5
	Toshinofuji	Maegashira	9-6	1803	40	+2.3
	Wakanosho	Maegashira	NA	NA	NA	NA
	Tokihayate	Maegashira	8-7	1809	22	+0.8
	Asasuiryu	Maegashira	8-7	1809	14	+0.7
	Chiyoshoma	Maegashira	5-10	1765	−31	−1.8
	Tobizaru	Maegashira	4-11	1769	−49	−3.1
	Abi	Maegashira	8-7	1843	8	+0.2
	Asakoryu	Maegashira	9-6	1867	24	+1.1
	Asahakuryu	Maegashira	8-7	1825	24	+0.8
	Wakatakakage	Maegashira	NA	NA	NA	NA
	Shodai	Maegashira	3-12	1776	−44	−3.5
	Wakamotoharu	Maegashira	10-5	1897	18	+2.0
	Kinbozan	Maegashira	9-6	1859	30	+1.6
	Oho	Maegashira	7-8	1880	−32	−1.7
	Shishi	Maegashira	7-8	1842	−13	−0.4
	Ura	Maegashira	10-5	1891	16	+1.7
	Hiradoumi	Maegashira	9-6	1908	0	+0.4
	Takerufuji	Maegashira	9-6	1891	4	+0.9
	Nishikifuji	Maegashira	7-8	1853	3	−0.2
	Fujiseiun	Maegashira	9-6	1869	16	+1.5
	Ichiyamamoto	Maegashira	4-11	1838	−44	−3.1
	Asanoyama	Maegashira	10-5	1962	17	+1.6
	Oshoma	Maegashira	6-9	1850	0	−0.7
	Roga	Maegashira	6-9	1854	4	−0.5
	Fujiryoga	Maegashira	8-7	1894	32	+2.7
	Takanosho	Maegashira	4-9	1913	−31	−1.6
	Churanoumi	Maegashira	10-5	1966	54	+3.4
	Gonoyama	Maegashira	6-9	1917	−3	−0.3
	Yoshinofuji	Maegashira	9-6	1989	12	+1.6
	Takayasu	Maegashira	7-8	1997	−1	−0.7
	Kotoeiho	Maegashira	5-10	1889	−9	−1.1
	Kotoshoho	Maegashira	5-7	1943	−4	−0.1
	Daieisho	Komusubi	5-10	1959	−23	−2.4
	Hakunofuji	Komusubi	5-10	1938	−28	−2.4
	Fujinokawa	Sekiwake	11-4	1998	62	+4.1
	Atamifuji	Sekiwake	8-7	2039	−4	−1.3
	Aonishiki	Ozeki	11-4	2117	8	+0.9
	Kotozakura	Ozeki	9-6	2004	9	+0.9
	Kirishima	Ozeki	8-7	2105	−29	−2.4
	Hoshoryu	Yokozuna	NA	NA	NA	NA
	Onosato	Yokozuna	12-3	2124	30	+1.8

Day-by-day Review for 2026 Aki Basho in Tokyo

Match Recap - Day 15

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Shonannoumi	3-11	0.52	1745	→	1730	0.48	5-9	Kazuma	1.06
2	Chiyoshoma	4-10	0.47	1767	←	1784	0.53	3-11	Shodai	1.08
3	Oho	6-8	0.58	1870	←	1816	0.42	8-6	Tokihayate	0.79
4	Asasuiryu	7-7	0.43	1794	←	1840	0.57	7-7	Shishi	1.20
5	Ura	9-5	0.66	1892	←	1780	0.34	4-10	Tobizaru	0.61
6	Toshinofuji	9-5	0.36	1798	→	1902	0.64	8-6	Hiradoumi	0.63
7	Takerufuji	8-6	0.60	1893	←	1823	0.40	8-6	Asahakuryu	0.74
8	Abi	7-7	0.49	1846	←	1852	0.51	7-7	Nishikifuji	1.02
9	Fujiseiun	8-6	0.51	1873	←	1862	0.49	9-5	Asakoryu	0.96
10	Kinbozan	9-5	0.55	1862	→	1827	0.45	3-11	Ichiyamamoto	1.15
11	Gonoyama	5-9	0.52	1909	←	1892	0.48	10-4	Wakamotoharu	0.93
12	Asanoyama	10-4	0.49	1969	→	1978	0.51	8-6	Yoshinofuji	0.97
13	Takayasu	7-7	0.65	1996	→	1889	0.35	7-7	Fujiryoga	1.51
14	Oshoma	6-8	0.46	1861	→	1890	0.54	4-10	Kotoeiho	0.89
15	Churanoumi	9-5	0.50	1965	←	1963	0.50	5-9	Daieisho	0.99
16	Hakunofuji	4-10	0.63	1942	←	1850	0.37	6-8	Roga	0.67
17	Atamifuji	8-6	0.60	2058	→	1988	0.40	10-4	Fujinokawa	1.32
18	Kirishima	7-7	0.65	2106	←	2000	0.35	9-5	Kotozakura	0.62
19	Onosato	11-3	0.52	2130	←	2114	0.48	11-3	Aonishiki	0.94

Match Recap - Day 14

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Asasuiryu	6-7	0.51	1787	←	1782	0.49	8-5	Daiseizan	0.98
2	Tobizaru	4-9	0.49	1786	→	1794	0.51	8-5	Toshinofuji	0.97
3	Oho	5-8	0.63	1866	←	1773	0.37	4-9	Chiyoshoma	0.66
4	Shonannoumi	3-10	0.34	1751	→	1868	0.66	8-5	Kinbozan	0.60
5	Ura	9-4	0.55	1887	→	1855	0.45	8-5	Asakoryu	1.14
6	Abi	7-6	0.52	1851	→	1837	0.48	6-7	Shishi	1.06
7	Takerufuji	8-5	0.51	1890	→	1885	0.49	9-4	Wakamotoharu	1.02
8	Tokihayate	8-5	0.37	1812	→	1908	0.63	7-6	Hiradoumi	0.66
9	Fujiseiun	8-5	0.57	1876	→	1826	0.43	7-6	Asahakuryu	1.22
10	Gonoyama	4-9	0.68	1911	←	1781	0.32	3-10	Shodai	0.56
11	Takayasu	6-7	0.54	1990	←	1961	0.46	9-4	Churanoumi	0.88
12	Fujiryoga	7-6	0.37	1880	→	1972	0.63	7-6	Yoshinofuji	0.67
13	Nishikifuji	6-7	0.46	1855	←	1884	0.54	4-9	Kotoeiho	1.13
14	Hakunofuji	4-9	0.65	1940	→	1834	0.35	2-11	Ichiyamamoto	1.50
15	Oshoma	6-7	0.35	1866	→	1970	0.65	4-9	Daieisho	0.63
16	Atamifuji	8-5	0.77	2066	→	1856	0.23	5-8	Roga	2.12
17	Asanoyama	10-3	0.46	1961	→	1991	0.54	9-4	Fujinokawa	0.88
18	Kirishima	7-6	0.49	2103	→	2110	0.51	10-3	Aonishiki	0.97
19	Onosato	11-2	0.68	2134	→	2002	0.32	8-5	Kotozakura	1.64

Match Recap - Day 13

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Toshinofuji	7-5	0.43	1797	←	1849	0.57	7-5	Abi	1.23
2	Tokihayate	7-5	0.50	1817	←	1819	0.50	7-5	Asahakuryu	1.01
3	Shonannoumi	3-9	0.46	1755	→	1787	0.54	2-10	Shodai	0.88
4	Oho	4-8	0.60	1865	←	1794	0.40	4-8	Tobizaru	0.73
5	Chiyoshoma	4-8	0.41	1778	→	1841	0.59	5-7	Shishi	0.76
6	Wakamotoharu	8-4	0.45	1879	←	1913	0.55	7-5	Hiradoumi	1.15
7	Takerufuji	7-5	0.54	1895	←	1871	0.46	8-4	Kinbozan	0.90
8	Asakoryu	7-5	0.50	1849	←	1848	0.50	6-6	Nishikifuji	1.00
9	Fujiseiun	8-4	0.48	1871	→	1884	0.52	8-4	Ura	0.95
10	Asasuiryu	5-7	0.42	1782	←	1840	0.58	2-10	Ichiyamamoto	1.26
11	Oshoma	6-6	0.36	1870	→	1967	0.64	6-6	Yoshinofuji	0.65
12	Takayasu	5-7	0.61	1985	←	1907	0.39	4-8	Gonoyama	0.71
13	Roga	5-7	0.47	1861	→	1880	0.53	3-9	Kotoeiho	0.92
14	Fujiryoga	6-6	0.36	1872	←	1974	0.64	4-8	Daieisho	1.49
15	Hakunofuji	3-9	0.53	1947	←	1926	0.47	4-8	Takanosho	0.92
16	Churanoumi	8-4	0.47	1965	←	1985	0.53	9-3	Fujinokawa	1.09
17	Atamifuji	8-4	0.66	2071	→	1954	0.34	9-3	Asanoyama	1.56
18	Aonishiki	9-3	0.65	2106	←	1999	0.35	8-4	Kotozakura	0.62
19	Onosato	11-1	0.53	2128	→	2109	0.47	6-6	Kirishima	1.08

Match Recap - Day 12

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Tobizaru	4-7	0.59	1799	→	1738	0.41	5-6	Kyokukaiyu	1.27
2	Chiyoshoma	4-7	0.40	1785	→	1854	0.60	6-5	Abi	0.74
3	Toshinofuji	7-4	0.47	1792	→	1813	0.53	6-5	Asahakuryu	0.92
4	Oho	3-8	0.66	1873	←	1757	0.34	3-8	Shonannoumi	0.60
5	Ura	7-4	0.60	1890	←	1819	0.40	7-4	Tokihayate	0.74
6	Takerufuji	7-4	0.64	1892	→	1789	0.36	4-7	Asasuiryu	1.49
7	Asakoryu	6-5	0.41	1846	←	1908	0.59	7-4	Hiradoumi	1.28
8	Fujiseiun	7-4	0.61	1868	←	1792	0.39	2-9	Shodai	0.72
9	Shishi	5-6	0.49	1838	→	1842	0.51	5-6	Nishikifuji	0.98
10	Wakamotoharu	7-4	0.54	1873	←	1844	0.46	2-9	Ichiyamamoto	0.88
11	Asanoyama	8-3	0.48	1950	←	1960	0.52	8-3	Churanoumi	1.04
12	Roga	5-6	0.37	1866	→	1961	0.63	5-6	Yoshinofuji	0.66
13	Kotoshoho	5-6	0.63	1953	→	1864	0.37	5-6	Fujiryoga	1.42
14	Takanosho	4-7	0.56	1930	→	1886	0.44	2-9	Kotoeiho	1.19
15	Hakunofuji	3-8	0.56	1952	→	1910	0.44	3-8	Gonoyama	1.18
16	Takayasu	4-7	0.52	1982	←	1972	0.48	4-7	Daieisho	0.96
17	Oshoma	6-5	0.33	1874	→	1997	0.67	7-4	Kotozakura	0.58
18	Kirishima	6-5	0.67	2108	→	1986	0.33	8-3	Fujinokawa	1.59
19	Aonishiki	8-3	0.79	2102	←	1873	0.21	8-3	Kinbozan	0.34
20	Onosato	10-1	0.57	2124	←	2074	0.43	8-3	Atamifuji	0.81

Match Recap - Day 11

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Dewanoryu	6-4	0.47	1770	←	1790	0.53	4-6	Chiyoshoma	1.09
2	Wakamotoharu	6-4	0.59	1868	←	1802	0.41	4-6	Tobizaru	0.75
3	Oho	3-7	0.60	1879	→	1810	0.40	5-5	Asahakuryu	1.32
4	Shonannoumi	3-7	0.37	1751	→	1842	0.63	4-6	Shishi	0.67
5	Ura	7-3	0.63	1886	→	1797	0.37	6-4	Toshinofuji	1.42
6	Shodai	2-8	0.35	1798	→	1903	0.65	6-4	Hiradoumi	0.63
7	Takerufuji	6-4	0.56	1897	←	1856	0.44	6-4	Abi	0.84
8	Asasuiryu	4-6	0.44	1797	→	1837	0.56	4-6	Nishikifuji	0.84
9	Fujiseiun	6-4	0.59	1872	←	1812	0.41	7-3	Tokihayate	0.77
10	Asakoryu	5-5	0.52	1853	←	1840	0.48	2-8	Ichiyamamoto	0.95
11	Asanoyama	7-3	0.61	1947	←	1867	0.39	8-2	Kinbozan	0.70
12	Oshoma	6-4	0.52	1868	→	1856	0.48	4-6	Fujiryoga	1.05
13	Gonoyama	3-7	0.43	1908	→	1956	0.57	4-6	Yoshinofuji	0.81
14	Kotoshoho	5-5	0.48	1947	→	1962	0.52	7-3	Churanoumi	0.94
15	Kotoeiho	2-8	0.38	1892	→	1975	0.62	3-7	Daieisho	0.70
16	Hakunofuji	3-7	0.45	1953	→	1989	0.55	3-7	Takayasu	0.86
17	Kirishima	5-5	0.57	2119	←	2068	0.43	8-2	Atamifuji	0.80
18	Aonishiki	7-3	0.72	2098	←	1933	0.28	4-6	Takanosho	0.47
19	Roga	5-5	0.32	1873	→	2004	0.68	6-4	Kotozakura	0.56
20	Onosato	9-1	0.69	2120	←	1979	0.31	8-2	Fujinokawa	0.53

Match Recap - Day 10

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Asasuiryu	4-5	0.62	1801	→	1719	0.38	4-5	Arashifuji	1.38
2	Asakoryu	5-4	0.64	1856	→	1753	0.36	2-7	Shonannoumi	1.49
3	Asahakuryu	4-5	0.52	1816	←	1801	0.48	2-7	Shodai	0.94
4	Toshinofuji	6-3	0.41	1800	→	1861	0.59	7-2	Kinbozan	0.77
5	Takerufuji	6-3	0.62	1891	→	1807	0.38	6-3	Tokihayate	1.39
6	Chiyoshoma	4-5	0.35	1795	→	1899	0.65	5-4	Hiradoumi	0.63
7	Fujiseiun	6-3	0.50	1868	→	1866	0.50	5-4	Wakamotoharu	1.01
8	Tobizaru	4-5	0.45	1799	→	1834	0.55	3-6	Nishikifuji	0.86
9	Asanoyama	6-3	0.64	1952	←	1851	0.36	6-3	Abi	0.64
10	Oho	3-6	0.55	1883	→	1846	0.45	1-8	Ichiyamamoto	1.16
11	Roga	5-4	0.48	1877	→	1891	0.52	6-3	Ura	0.95
12	Shishi	4-5	0.46	1838	→	1863	0.54	5-4	Oshoma	0.90
13	Takayasu	3-6	0.55	1995	→	1957	0.45	3-6	Yoshinofuji	1.16
14	Gonoyama	2-7	0.52	1914	←	1898	0.48	2-7	Kotoeiho	0.93
15	Kotoshoho	4-5	0.46	1943	←	1970	0.54	3-6	Daieisho	1.11
16	Takanosho	4-5	0.44	1929	→	1971	0.56	7-2	Fujinokawa	0.83
17	Aonishiki	6-3	0.69	2093	←	1956	0.31	7-2	Churanoumi	0.54
18	Atamifuji	7-2	0.58	2064	←	2011	0.42	6-3	Kotozakura	0.80
19	Kirishima	5-4	0.83	2128	→	1857	0.17	3-6	Fujiryoga	2.53
20	Onosato	8-1	0.73	2117	←	1947	0.27	3-6	Hakunofuji	0.46

Match Recap - Day 9

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Sadanoumi	2-6	0.35	1692	→	1803	0.65	5-3	Tokihayate	0.61
2	Shonannoumi	2-6	0.36	1746	→	1847	0.64	5-3	Abi	0.64
3	Tobizaru	3-5	0.52	1805	←	1794	0.48	2-6	Shodai	0.96
4	Wakamotoharu	4-4	0.61	1872	←	1796	0.39	6-2	Toshinofuji	0.72
5	Chiyoshoma	4-4	0.42	1798	→	1854	0.58	6-2	Kinbozan	0.79
6	Asasuiryu	4-4	0.37	1806	→	1896	0.63	4-4	Hiradoumi	0.67
7	Takerufuji	5-3	0.55	1888	←	1851	0.45	5-3	Asakoryu	0.86
8	Asahakuryu	4-4	0.47	1820	→	1839	0.53	2-6	Nishikifuji	0.92
9	Fujiseiun	5-3	0.49	1871	←	1878	0.51	3-5	Oho	1.03
10	Shishi	3-5	0.49	1843	←	1850	0.51	1-7	Ichiyamamoto	1.03
11	Ura	6-2	0.53	1888	→	1867	0.47	4-4	Oshoma	1.09
12	Takanosho	3-5	0.48	1933	←	1950	0.52	6-2	Asanoyama	1.07
13	Roga	5-3	0.40	1881	→	1948	0.60	6-2	Churanoumi	0.75
14	Kotoshoho	3-5	0.54	1947	←	1921	0.46	2-6	Gonoyama	0.90
15	Hakunofuji	2-6	0.56	1943	←	1901	0.44	2-6	Kotoeiho	0.84
16	Atamifuji	6-2	0.59	2062	←	2000	0.41	3-5	Takayasu	0.77
17	Fujinokawa	6-2	0.43	1963	←	2016	0.57	6-2	Kotozakura	1.23
18	Kirishima	5-3	0.72	2136	→	1974	0.28	2-6	Daieisho	1.82
19	Aonishiki	5-3	0.69	2090	←	1951	0.31	3-5	Yoshinofuji	0.54
20	Onosato	7-1	0.82	2114	←	1852	0.18	3-5	Fujiryoga	0.29

Match Recap - Day 8

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Mitakeumi	3-4	0.42	1742	→	1798	0.58	5-2	Toshinofuji	0.79
2	Tobizaru	3-4	0.50	1808	→	1806	0.50	4-3	Tokihayate	1.01
3	Asakoryu	4-3	0.58	1848	←	1794	0.42	4-3	Chiyoshoma	0.79
4	Shonannoumi	1-6	0.40	1743	←	1816	0.60	4-3	Asahakuryu	1.33
5	Wakamotoharu	4-3	0.54	1876	→	1850	0.46	4-3	Abi	1.11
6	Asasuiryu	4-3	0.52	1802	→	1790	0.48	1-6	Shodai	1.05
7	Fujiseiun	5-2	0.52	1863	→	1847	0.48	5-2	Kinbozan	1.07
8	Oho	2-5	0.55	1876	←	1843	0.45	2-5	Nishikifuji	0.87
9	Asanoyama	5-2	0.65	1954	←	1846	0.35	3-4	Shishi	0.62
10	Ura	5-2	0.56	1892	←	1847	0.44	1-6	Ichiyamamoto	0.82
11	Roga	5-2	0.46	1877	→	1902	0.54	3-4	Hiradoumi	0.90
12	Takerufuji	4-3	0.54	1892	←	1862	0.46	4-3	Oshoma	0.88
13	Gonoyama	2-5	0.60	1923	→	1855	0.40	2-5	Fujiryoga	1.31
14	Kotoshoho	3-4	0.50	1942	→	1944	0.50	2-5	Yoshinofuji	0.99
15	Atamifuji	5-2	0.72	2065	←	1904	0.28	2-5	Kotoeiho	0.48
16	Takayasu	3-4	0.56	1998	→	1956	0.44	5-2	Fujinokawa	1.19
17	Kirishima	5-2	0.74	2136	→	1949	0.26	5-2	Churanoumi	1.97
18	Aonishiki	4-3	0.65	2088	←	1978	0.35	2-5	Daieisho	0.62
19	Hakunofuji	1-6	0.41	1950	←	2012	0.59	6-1	Kotozakura	1.28
20	Onosato	6-1	0.73	2110	←	1939	0.27	3-4	Takanosho	0.46

Match Recap - Day 7

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Shonannoumi	0-6	0.51	1749	←	1745	0.49	4-2	Kazekeno	0.98
2	Asasuiryu	3-3	0.51	1808	←	1801	0.49	4-2	Tokihayate	0.97
3	Tobizaru	3-3	0.51	1802	→	1797	0.49	3-3	Chiyoshoma	1.02
4	Wakamotoharu	4-2	0.52	1872	→	1855	0.48	3-3	Asakoryu	1.07
5	Abi	4-2	0.50	1844	→	1843	0.50	4-2	Kinbozan	1.00
6	Oho	1-5	0.63	1884	←	1790	0.37	5-1	Toshinofuji	0.66
7	Asahakuryu	3-3	0.47	1819	←	1841	0.53	3-3	Shishi	1.09
8	Ura	5-1	0.63	1886	→	1796	0.37	0-6	Shodai	1.42
9	Nishikifuji	2-4	0.48	1839	→	1853	0.52	0-6	Ichiyamamoto	0.94
10	Asanoyama	5-1	0.62	1949	→	1860	0.38	4-2	Fujiseiun	1.41
11	Hiradoumi	3-3	0.56	1905	→	1866	0.44	3-3	Oshoma	1.17
12	Roga	4-2	0.49	1880	←	1888	0.51	4-2	Takerufuji	1.03
13	Takayasu	2-4	0.59	2006	←	1944	0.41	3-3	Takanosho	0.77
14	Yoshinofuji	1-5	0.55	1938	←	1900	0.45	2-4	Kotoeiho	0.85
15	Hakunofuji	1-5	0.52	1956	→	1943	0.48	2-4	Kotoshoho	1.05
16	Daieisho	2-4	0.54	1975	→	1947	0.46	4-2	Fujinokawa	1.12
17	Aonishiki	3-3	0.55	2098	←	2060	0.45	5-1	Atamifuji	0.85
18	Fujiryoga	2-4	0.29	1857	→	2009	0.71	5-1	Kotozakura	0.50
19	Kirishima	4-2	0.78	2142	←	1924	0.22	2-4	Gonoyama	0.36
20	Onosato	5-1	0.72	2107	←	1943	0.28	5-1	Churanoumi	0.47

Match Recap - Day 6

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Shonannoumi	0-5	0.44	1756	→	1797	0.56	3-2	Tokihayate	0.84
2	Tobizaru	2-3	0.51	1795	←	1789	0.49	3-2	Onokatsu	0.97
3	Toshinofuji	4-1	0.49	1783	←	1790	0.51	3-2	Chiyoshoma	1.03
4	Asasuiryu	3-2	0.46	1812	→	1838	0.54	3-2	Abi	0.90
5	Oho	1-4	0.52	1892	→	1876	0.48	3-2	Wakamotoharu	1.07
6	Asakoryu	3-2	0.52	1862	→	1848	0.48	3-2	Kinbozan	1.06
7	Ura	4-1	0.59	1880	←	1815	0.41	3-2	Asahakuryu	0.76
8	Shodai	0-5	0.45	1802	→	1836	0.55	2-3	Shishi	0.87
9	Asanoyama	4-1	0.56	1944	←	1900	0.44	3-2	Hiradoumi	0.83
10	Takerufuji	3-2	0.54	1891	←	1860	0.46	0-5	Ichiyamamoto	0.88
11	Roga	4-1	0.54	1873	→	1845	0.46	1-4	Nishikifuji	1.12
12	Fujiseiun	3-2	0.50	1865	←	1862	0.50	3-2	Oshoma	0.99
13	Fujiryoga	2-3	0.38	1852	→	1935	0.62	4-1	Churanoumi	0.70
14	Takayasu	2-3	0.64	2009	→	1906	0.36	1-4	Kotoeiho	1.49
15	Hakunofuji	1-4	0.47	1960	→	1978	0.53	1-4	Daieisho	0.93
16	Atamifuji	4-1	0.67	2056	←	1936	0.33	2-3	Kotoshoho	0.59
17	Takanosho	3-2	0.41	1947	→	2014	0.59	4-1	Kotozakura	0.75
18	Kirishima	4-1	0.76	2140	→	1943	0.24	0-5	Yoshinofuji	2.04
19	Aonishiki	3-2	0.72	2107	→	1943	0.28	3-2	Fujinokawa	1.83
20	Onosato	4-1	0.75	2106	←	1918	0.25	2-3	Gonoyama	0.42

Match Recap - Day 5

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Shonannoumi	0-4	0.48	1762	→	1775	0.52	3-1	Toshinofuji	0.95
2	Tamawashi	1-3	0.48	1767	→	1784	0.52	2-2	Chiyoshoma	0.93
3	Tobizaru	1-3	0.48	1793	←	1810	0.52	3-1	Asasuiryu	1.07
4	Asakoryu	3-1	0.59	1867	→	1802	0.41	2-2	Tokihayate	1.29
5	Abi	2-2	0.53	1832	←	1808	0.47	0-4	Shodai	0.90
6	Asahakuryu	2-2	0.47	1821	←	1844	0.53	3-1	Kinbozan	1.10
7	Oho	1-3	0.58	1898	→	1840	0.42	1-3	Shishi	1.27
8	Ura	3-1	0.50	1874	←	1870	0.50	3-1	Wakamotoharu	0.99
9	Hiradoumi	2-2	0.54	1897	←	1867	0.46	0-4	Ichiyamamoto	0.88
10	Asanoyama	3-1	0.58	1941	←	1887	0.42	3-1	Takerufuji	0.79
11	Nishikifuji	1-3	0.48	1848	→	1865	0.52	2-2	Oshoma	0.93
12	Roga	3-1	0.50	1866	←	1868	0.50	3-1	Fujiseiun	1.01
13	Fujiryoga	1-3	0.42	1853	←	1909	0.58	1-3	Kotoeiho	1.25
14	Kotoshoho	1-3	0.40	1932	←	2001	0.60	2-2	Takayasu	1.31
15	Hakunofuji	1-3	0.51	1955	→	1947	0.49	2-2	Fujinokawa	1.03
16	Atamifuji	3-1	0.61	2055	←	1975	0.39	1-3	Daieisho	0.70
17	Kirishima	3-1	0.75	2140	←	1950	0.25	3-1	Takanosho	0.42
18	Aonishiki	3-1	0.75	2113	→	1923	0.25	1-3	Gonoyama	2.00
19	Churanoumi	3-1	0.39	1928	←	2008	0.61	4-0	Kotozakura	1.37
20	Onosato	3-1	0.72	2111	←	1950	0.28	0-4	Yoshinofuji	0.48

Match Recap - Day 4

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Asasuiryu	2-1	0.59	1813	←	1747	0.41	1-2	Kazuma	0.75
2	Tobizaru	0-3	0.54	1799	←	1769	0.46	0-3	Shonannoumi	0.88
3	Asakoryu	3-0	0.63	1860	→	1768	0.37	2-1	Toshinofuji	1.43
4	Tokihayate	2-1	0.47	1806	→	1830	0.53	1-2	Abi	0.90
5	Chiyoshoma	1-2	0.44	1781	←	1824	0.56	2-1	Asahakuryu	1.19
6	Shodai	0-3	0.45	1814	→	1847	0.55	2-1	Kinbozan	0.87
7	Wakamotoharu	2-1	0.54	1867	←	1836	0.46	1-2	Shishi	0.88
8	Takerufuji	2-1	0.48	1891	←	1903	0.52	1-2	Oho	1.05
9	Fujiseiun	3-0	0.44	1860	→	1902	0.56	1-2	Hiradoumi	0.84
10	Ura	2-1	0.54	1869	←	1844	0.46	1-2	Nishikifuji	0.90
11	Roga	2-1	0.48	1858	←	1874	0.52	0-3	Ichiyamamoto	1.07
12	Asanoyama	2-1	0.62	1946	←	1860	0.38	2-1	Oshoma	0.69
13	Takanosho	3-0	0.53	1942	→	1923	0.47	2-1	Churanoumi	1.08
14	Yoshinofuji	0-3	0.47	1957	→	1982	0.53	0-3	Daieisho	0.90
15	Atamifuji	2-1	0.77	2061	←	1848	0.23	1-2	Fujiryoga	0.37
16	Kotoshoho	0-3	0.49	1936	←	1944	0.51	2-1	Fujinokawa	1.03
17	Aonishiki	3-0	0.70	2109	→	1963	0.30	0-3	Hakunofuji	1.73
18	Gonoyama	1-2	0.39	1926	→	2001	0.61	3-0	Kotozakura	0.72
19	Kirishima	2-1	0.80	2145	←	1909	0.20	1-2	Kotoeiho	0.33
20	Onosato	3-0	0.66	2107	→	1995	0.34	1-2	Takayasu	1.54

Match Recap - Day 3

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Daiseizan	2-0	0.45	1763	←	1799	0.55	2-0	Tokihayate	1.16
2	Asasuiryu	2-0	0.56	1807	→	1764	0.44	1-1	Toshinofuji	1.19
3	Shonannoumi	0-2	0.48	1775	→	1787	0.52	0-2	Chiyoshoma	0.95
4	Tobizaru	0-2	0.46	1806	→	1836	0.54	0-2	Abi	0.88
5	Asakoryu	2-0	0.55	1854	←	1819	0.45	0-2	Shodai	0.86
6	Wakamotoharu	1-1	0.58	1872	←	1816	0.42	2-0	Asahakuryu	0.79
7	Kinbozan	2-0	0.50	1840	→	1843	0.50	0-2	Shishi	0.99
8	Ura	1-1	0.46	1873	←	1902	0.54	1-1	Oho	1.13
9	Hiradoumi	1-1	0.57	1899	→	1849	0.43	0-2	Nishikifuji	1.22
10	Fujiseiun	2-0	0.45	1854	←	1885	0.55	2-0	Takerufuji	1.14
11	Ichiyamamoto	0-2	0.53	1881	→	1862	0.47	1-1	Oshoma	1.08
12	Roga	1-1	0.38	1854	←	1942	0.62	2-0	Asanoyama	1.41
13	Churanoumi	1-1	0.44	1924	←	1964	0.56	0-2	Yoshinofuji	1.18
14	Hakunofuji	0-2	0.66	1967	→	1855	0.34	0-2	Fujiryoga	1.54
15	Gonoyama	1-1	0.46	1921	→	1947	0.54	1-1	Fujinokawa	0.89
16	Atamifuji	2-0	0.66	2056	→	1938	0.34	2-0	Takanosho	1.57
17	Daieisho	0-2	0.49	1988	→	1996	0.51	2-0	Kotozakura	0.97
18	Kirishima	2-0	0.69	2142	→	2000	0.31	0-2	Takayasu	1.71
19	Aonishiki	2-0	0.72	2105	←	1940	0.28	0-2	Kotoshoho	0.47
20	Onosato	2-0	0.76	2103	←	1904	0.24	1-1	Kotoeiho	0.40

Match Recap - Day 2

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Kyokukaiyu	0-1	0.48	1755	→	1768	0.52	0-1	Toshinofuji	0.95
2	Asasuiryu	1-0	0.53	1800	←	1781	0.47	0-1	Shonannoumi	0.92
3	Tokihayate	1-0	0.50	1793	←	1793	0.50	0-1	Chiyoshoma	1.00
4	Asakoryu	1-0	0.51	1848	←	1840	0.49	0-1	Abi	0.97
5	Tobizaru	0-1	0.51	1812	→	1809	0.49	1-0	Asahakuryu	1.02
6	Oho	0-1	0.62	1909	←	1823	0.38	0-1	Shodai	0.69
7	Wakamotoharu	1-0	0.55	1870	→	1833	0.45	1-0	Kinbozan	1.17
8	Takerufuji	1-0	0.55	1882	←	1849	0.45	0-1	Shishi	0.87
9	Ura	1-0	0.45	1870	→	1905	0.55	0-1	Hiradoumi	0.86
10	Asanoyama	1-0	0.62	1939	←	1853	0.38	0-1	Nishikifuji	0.69
11	Fujiseiun	1-0	0.45	1850	←	1884	0.55	0-1	Ichiyamamoto	1.15
12	Takanosho	1-0	0.61	1936	←	1856	0.39	1-0	Oshoma	0.70
13	Roga	0-1	0.50	1857	←	1859	0.50	0-1	Fujiryoga	1.01
14	Gonoyama	0-1	0.41	1923	←	1990	0.59	0-1	Daieisho	1.30
15	Atamifuji	1-0	0.68	2050	←	1917	0.32	1-0	Churanoumi	0.55
16	Kotoeiho	0-1	0.45	1905	←	1941	0.55	1-0	Fujinokawa	1.16
17	Kirishima	1-0	0.72	2138	←	1971	0.28	0-1	Hakunofuji	0.47
18	Aonishiki	1-0	0.64	2104	←	2004	0.36	0-1	Takayasu	0.64
19	Yoshinofuji	0-1	0.47	1971	→	1992	0.53	1-0	Kotozakura	0.92
20	Onosato	1-0	0.71	2098	←	1943	0.29	0-1	Kotoshoho	0.50

Match Recap - Day 1

Match	East				Win	West				Surprisal
	Name	Record	Win Prob	Elo		Elo	Win Prob	Record	Name
1	Shonannoumi	0-0	0.51	1784	→	1777	0.49	0-0	Dewanoryu	1.03
2	Toshinofuji	0-0	0.47	1763	→	1787	0.53	0-0	Tokihayate	0.91
3	Asasuiryu	0-0	0.50	1795	←	1796	0.50	0-0	Chiyoshoma	1.01
4	Asakoryu	0-0	0.54	1844	←	1818	0.46	0-0	Tobizaru	0.90
5	Abi	0-0	0.55	1835	→	1801	0.45	0-0	Asahakuryu	1.15
6	Wakamotoharu	0-0	0.58	1879	←	1820	0.42	0-0	Shodai	0.78
7	Oho	0-0	0.62	1913	→	1829	0.38	0-0	Kinbozan	1.39
8	Ura	0-0	0.53	1875	←	1855	0.47	0-0	Shishi	0.92
9	Takerufuji	0-0	0.47	1887	←	1908	0.53	0-0	Hiradoumi	1.09
10	Fujiseiun	0-0	0.50	1852	←	1849	0.50	0-0	Nishikifuji	0.99
11	Asanoyama	0-0	0.59	1945	←	1882	0.41	0-0	Ichiyamamoto	0.76
12	Roga	0-0	0.50	1850	→	1850	0.50	0-0	Oshoma	1.00
13	Takanosho	0-0	0.62	1944	←	1862	0.38	0-0	Fujiryoga	0.70
14	Hakunofuji	0-0	0.58	1966	→	1912	0.42	0-0	Churanoumi	1.24
15	Yoshinofuji	0-0	0.56	1978	→	1936	0.44	0-0	Fujinokawa	1.18
16	Atamifuji	0-0	0.67	2043	←	1920	0.33	0-0	Gonoyama	0.58
17	Aonishiki	0-0	0.77	2109	←	1898	0.23	0-0	Kotoeiho	0.38
18	Takayasu	0-0	0.50	1999	→	1995	0.50	0-0	Kotozakura	1.01
19	Kirishima	0-0	0.75	2134	←	1947	0.25	0-0	Kotoshoho	0.42
20	Onosato	0-0	0.66	2094	←	1983	0.34	0-0	Daieisho	0.61